{
 "report_id": "2026-08-07_value_momentum",
 "report_date": "2026-08-07",
 "report_timestamp": "2026-08-07T22:10:56+00:00",
 "report_type": "hybrid",
 "generator": "mechanical screener v1 (FMP + EODHD), no LLM in the data path",
 "universe": {
  "country_listing": "US",
  "security_types": [
   "common_stock"
  ],
  "exclude": [
   "etf",
   "cef",
   "fund"
  ],
  "min_price": 5.0,
  "min_market_cap": 10000000000,
  "min_avg_daily_volume": 500000,
  "size": 815
 },
 "market_context": {
  "spy_close": 773.26,
  "spy_above_21d_ema": true,
  "note": "regime shown for reference; backtest found it non-predictive"
 },
 "picks": [
  {
   "pick_rank": 1,
   "screen_type": "value",
   "ticker": "RCI",
   "company_name": "Rogers Communications Inc.",
   "sector": "Communication Services",
   "universe": "US large-cap common stocks",
   "price": 34.47,
   "market_cap": 18621565712,
   "fifty_two_week_low": 31.45,
   "pct_above_52_week_low": 9.6,
   "trailing_pe": 4.16,
   "five_day_return_pct": 1.83,
   "roc_14d_pct": -1.09,
   "roc_21d_pct": 4.93,
   "rsi_14d": 52.75,
   "sma_20d": 33.92,
   "sma_50d": 35.14,
   "sma_200d": 36.29,
   "pct_vs_sma_20d": 1.63,
   "pct_vs_sma_50d": -1.9,
   "pct_vs_sma_200d": -5.02,
   "pct_off_52_week_high": -15.87,
   "avg_daily_volume_3m": 1272507,
   "risk_level": "medium",
   "above_200d_sma": false,
   "strategy_action": "long-watch \u2014 3y: 57% win, +1.7% avg per 21 sessions; weakest in 2025-26 tape",
   "outlook": "Deep value near lows; bounced more often than not over three years. The 2025-26 short-the-knife pattern did not hold over the full sample.",
   "screen_reason": [
    "Within 10% of 52-week low",
    "Trailing P/E <= 10",
    "Universe & liquidity filters passed"
   ],
   "price_series": {
    "basis": "eodhd adjusted_close (split+dividend adjusted); sma200 = 200-session rolling mean on the same basis",
    "dates": [
     "2025-08-07",
     "2025-08-08",
     "2025-08-11",
     "2025-08-12",
     "2025-08-13",
     "2025-08-14",
     "2025-08-15",
     "2025-08-18",
     "2025-08-19",
     "2025-08-20",
     "2025-08-21",
     "2025-08-22",
     "2025-08-25",
     "2025-08-26",
     "2025-08-27",
     "2025-08-28",
     "2025-08-29",
     "2025-09-02",
     "2025-09-03",
     "2025-09-04",
     "2025-09-05",
     "2025-09-08",
     "2025-09-09",
     "2025-09-10",
     "2025-09-11",
     "2025-09-12",
     "2025-09-15",
     "2025-09-16",
     "2025-09-17",
     "2025-09-18",
     "2025-09-19",
     "2025-09-22",
     "2025-09-23",
     "2025-09-24",
     "2025-09-25",
     "2025-09-26",
     "2025-09-29",
     "2025-09-30",
     "2025-10-01",
     "2025-10-02",
     "2025-10-03",
     "2025-10-06",
     "2025-10-07",
     "2025-10-08",
     "2025-10-09",
     "2025-10-10",
     "2025-10-13",
     "2025-10-14",
     "2025-10-15",
     "2025-10-16",
     "2025-10-17",
     "2025-10-20",
     "2025-10-21",
     "2025-10-22",
     "2025-10-23",
     "2025-10-24",
     "2025-10-27",
     "2025-10-28",
     "2025-10-29",
     "2025-10-30",
     "2025-10-31",
     "2025-11-03",
     "2025-11-04",
     "2025-11-05",
     "2025-11-06",
     "2025-11-07",
     "2025-11-10",
     "2025-11-11",
     "2025-11-12",
     "2025-11-13",
     "2025-11-14",
     "2025-11-17",
     "2025-11-18",
     "2025-11-19",
     "2025-11-20",
     "2025-11-21",
     "2025-11-24",
     "2025-11-25",
     "2025-11-26",
     "2025-11-28",
     "2025-12-01",
     "2025-12-02",
     "2025-12-03",
     "2025-12-04",
     "2025-12-05",
     "2025-12-08",
     "2025-12-09",
     "2025-12-10",
     "2025-12-11",
     "2025-12-12",
     "2025-12-15",
     "2025-12-16",
     "2025-12-17",
     "2025-12-18",
     "2025-12-19",
     "2025-12-22",
     "2025-12-23",
     "2025-12-24",
     "2025-12-26",
     "2025-12-29",
     "2025-12-30",
     "2025-12-31",
     "2026-01-02",
     "2026-01-05",
     "2026-01-06",
     "2026-01-07",
     "2026-01-08",
     "2026-01-09",
     "2026-01-12",
     "2026-01-13",
     "2026-01-14",
     "2026-01-15",
     "2026-01-16",
     "2026-01-20",
     "2026-01-21",
     "2026-01-22",
     "2026-01-23",
     "2026-01-26",
     "2026-01-27",
     "2026-01-28",
     "2026-01-29",
     "2026-01-30",
     "2026-02-02",
     "2026-02-03",
     "2026-02-04",
     "2026-02-05",
     "2026-02-06",
     "2026-02-09",
     "2026-02-10",
     "2026-02-11",
     "2026-02-12",
     "2026-02-13",
     "2026-02-17",
     "2026-02-18",
     "2026-02-19",
     "2026-02-20",
     "2026-02-23",
     "2026-02-24",
     "2026-02-25",
     "2026-02-26",
     "2026-02-27",
     "2026-03-02",
     "2026-03-03",
     "2026-03-04",
     "2026-03-05",
     "2026-03-06",
     "2026-03-09",
     "2026-03-10",
     "2026-03-11",
     "2026-03-12",
     "2026-03-13",
     "2026-03-16",
     "2026-03-17",
     "2026-03-18",
     "2026-03-19",
     "2026-03-20",
     "2026-03-23",
     "2026-03-24",
     "2026-03-25",
     "2026-03-26",
     "2026-03-27",
     "2026-03-30",
     "2026-03-31",
     "2026-04-01",
     "2026-04-02",
     "2026-04-06",
     "2026-04-07",
     "2026-04-08",
     "2026-04-09",
     "2026-04-10",
     "2026-04-13",
     "2026-04-14",
     "2026-04-15",
     "2026-04-16",
     "2026-04-17",
     "2026-04-20",
     "2026-04-21",
     "2026-04-22",
     "2026-04-23",
     "2026-04-24",
     "2026-04-27",
     "2026-04-28",
     "2026-04-29",
     "2026-04-30",
     "2026-05-01",
     "2026-05-04",
     "2026-05-05",
     "2026-05-06",
     "2026-05-07",
     "2026-05-08",
     "2026-05-11",
     "2026-05-12",
     "2026-05-13",
     "2026-05-14",
     "2026-05-15",
     "2026-05-18",
     "2026-05-19",
     "2026-05-20",
     "2026-05-21",
     "2026-05-22",
     "2026-05-26",
     "2026-05-27",
     "2026-05-28",
     "2026-05-29",
     "2026-06-01",
     "2026-06-02",
     "2026-06-03",
     "2026-06-04",
     "2026-06-05",
     "2026-06-08",
     "2026-06-09",
     "2026-06-10",
     "2026-06-11",
     "2026-06-12",
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     "2026-06-16",
     "2026-06-17",
     "2026-06-18",
     "2026-06-22",
     "2026-06-23",
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     "2026-06-26",
     "2026-06-29",
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     "2026-07-01",
     "2026-07-02",
     "2026-07-06",
     "2026-07-07",
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     "2026-07-10",
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     "2026-07-21",
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     "2026-07-29",
     "2026-07-30",
     "2026-07-31",
     "2026-08-03",
     "2026-08-04",
     "2026-08-05",
     "2026-08-06",
     "2026-08-07"
    ],
    "close": [
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   },
   "overlap_with_other_screen": false
  },
  {
   "pick_rank": 2,
   "screen_type": "value",
   "ticker": "SUZ",
   "company_name": "Suzano S.A.",
   "sector": "Basic Materials",
   "universe": "US large-cap common stocks",
   "price": 8.22,
   "market_cap": 10160735712,
   "fifty_two_week_low": 7.67,
   "pct_above_52_week_low": 7.17,
   "trailing_pe": 4.53,
   "five_day_return_pct": -3.52,
   "roc_14d_pct": -0.24,
   "roc_21d_pct": 2.88,
   "rsi_14d": 47.56,
   "sma_20d": 8.3,
   "sma_50d": 8.17,
   "sma_200d": 9.11,
   "pct_vs_sma_20d": -0.97,
   "pct_vs_sma_50d": 0.64,
   "pct_vs_sma_200d": -9.79,
   "pct_off_52_week_high": -28.27,
   "avg_daily_volume_3m": 2984403,
   "risk_level": "high",
   "above_200d_sma": false,
   "strategy_action": "long-watch \u2014 3y: 57% win, +1.7% avg per 21 sessions; weakest in 2025-26 tape",
   "outlook": "Deep value near lows; bounced more often than not over three years. The 2025-26 short-the-knife pattern did not hold over the full sample.",
   "screen_reason": [
    "Within 10% of 52-week low",
    "Trailing P/E <= 10",
    "Universe & liquidity filters passed"
   ],
   "price_series": {
    "basis": "eodhd adjusted_close (split+dividend adjusted); sma200 = 200-session rolling mean on the same basis",
    "dates": [
     "2025-08-07",
     "2025-08-08",
     "2025-08-11",
     "2025-08-12",
     "2025-08-13",
     "2025-08-14",
     "2025-08-15",
     "2025-08-18",
     "2025-08-19",
     "2025-08-20",
     "2025-08-21",
     "2025-08-22",
     "2025-08-25",
     "2025-08-26",
     "2025-08-27",
     "2025-08-28",
     "2025-08-29",
     "2025-09-02",
     "2025-09-03",
     "2025-09-04",
     "2025-09-05",
     "2025-09-08",
     "2025-09-09",
     "2025-09-10",
     "2025-09-11",
     "2025-09-12",
     "2025-09-15",
     "2025-09-16",
     "2025-09-17",
     "2025-09-18",
     "2025-09-19",
     "2025-09-22",
     "2025-09-23",
     "2025-09-24",
     "2025-09-25",
     "2025-09-26",
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   },
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  },
  {
   "pick_rank": 3,
   "screen_type": "value",
   "ticker": "BCE",
   "company_name": "BCE Inc.",
   "sector": "Communication Services",
   "universe": "US large-cap common stocks",
   "price": 22.75,
   "market_cap": 21214962337,
   "fifty_two_week_low": 20.87,
   "pct_above_52_week_low": 9.01,
   "trailing_pe": 4.68,
   "five_day_return_pct": 4.94,
   "roc_14d_pct": 4.84,
   "roc_21d_pct": 6.71,
   "rsi_14d": 59.87,
   "sma_20d": 21.79,
   "sma_50d": 22.59,
   "sma_200d": 23.43,
   "pct_vs_sma_20d": 4.43,
   "pct_vs_sma_50d": 0.73,
   "pct_vs_sma_200d": -2.91,
   "pct_off_52_week_high": -13.99,
   "avg_daily_volume_3m": 4018202,
   "risk_level": "medium",
   "above_200d_sma": false,
   "strategy_action": "long-watch \u2014 3y: 57% win, +1.7% avg per 21 sessions; weakest in 2025-26 tape",
   "outlook": "Deep value near lows; bounced more often than not over three years. The 2025-26 short-the-knife pattern did not hold over the full sample.",
   "screen_reason": [
    "Within 10% of 52-week low",
    "Trailing P/E <= 10",
    "Universe & liquidity filters passed"
   ],
   "price_series": {
    "basis": "eodhd adjusted_close (split+dividend adjusted); sma200 = 200-session rolling mean on the same basis",
    "dates": [
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     "2025-08-08",
     "2025-08-11",
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  {
   "pick_rank": 4,
   "screen_type": "value",
   "ticker": "EXE",
   "company_name": "Expand Energy Corporation",
   "sector": "Energy",
   "universe": "US large-cap common stocks",
   "price": 92.84,
   "market_cap": 21492831360,
   "fifty_two_week_low": 86.95,
   "pct_above_52_week_low": 6.77,
   "trailing_pe": 7.95,
   "five_day_return_pct": -1.27,
   "roc_14d_pct": 6.77,
   "roc_21d_pct": 4.35,
   "rsi_14d": 55.19,
   "sma_20d": 90.6,
   "sma_50d": 89.99,
   "sma_200d": 101.55,
   "pct_vs_sma_20d": 2.47,
   "pct_vs_sma_50d": 3.16,
   "pct_vs_sma_200d": -8.58,
   "pct_off_52_week_high": -24.45,
   "avg_daily_volume_3m": 3621963,
   "risk_level": "high",
   "above_200d_sma": false,
   "strategy_action": "long-watch \u2014 3y: 57% win, +1.7% avg per 21 sessions; weakest in 2025-26 tape",
   "outlook": "Deep value near lows; bounced more often than not over three years. The 2025-26 short-the-knife pattern did not hold over the full sample.",
   "screen_reason": [
    "Within 10% of 52-week low",
    "Trailing P/E <= 10",
    "Universe & liquidity filters passed"
   ],
   "price_series": {
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    "dates": [
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    "close": [
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   "screen_type": "momentum",
   "ticker": "TEAM",
   "company_name": "Atlassian Corporation",
   "sector": "Technology",
   "universe": "US large-cap common stocks",
   "price": 149.07,
   "market_cap": 39156860137,
   "fifty_two_week_low": 57.15,
   "pct_above_52_week_low": 160.84,
   "trailing_pe": null,
   "five_day_return_pct": 47.57,
   "roc_14d_pct": 54.59,
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   "rsi_14d": 78.56,
   "sma_20d": 99.4,
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   "sma_200d": 108.04,
   "pct_vs_sma_20d": 49.97,
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   "pct_vs_sma_200d": 37.97,
   "pct_off_52_week_high": -18.26,
   "avg_daily_volume_3m": 5233837,
   "risk_level": "high",
   "above_200d_sma": true,
   "strategy_action": "long, 21-day hold",
   "outlook": "Trend continuation setup.",
   "screen_reason": [
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   "price_series": {
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   "company_name": "Coherent, Inc.",
   "sector": "Technology",
   "universe": "US large-cap common stocks",
   "price": 379.13,
   "market_cap": 74172735771,
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   "trailing_pe": null,
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   "risk_level": "high",
   "above_200d_sma": true,
   "strategy_action": "long, 21-day hold",
   "outlook": "Trend continuation setup.",
   "screen_reason": [
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   "trailing_pe": null,
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   "avg_daily_volume_3m": 4022337,
   "risk_level": "high",
   "above_200d_sma": false,
   "strategy_action": "skip \u2014 below 200-day SMA (3y: +0.5% vs +1.8% per 21 sessions)",
   "outlook": "Momentum without trend support.",
   "screen_reason": [
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   "company_name": "Paycom Software, Inc.",
   "sector": "Technology",
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   "trailing_pe": null,
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   "risk_level": "high",
   "above_200d_sma": true,
   "strategy_action": "long, 21-day hold",
   "outlook": "Trend continuation setup.",
   "screen_reason": [
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   "strategy_action": "long, 21-day hold",
   "outlook": "Trend continuation setup.",
   "screen_reason": [
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   "price_series": {
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   "TFC"
  ],
  "lowvol_n": 165,
  "universe_n": 828,
  "backtest_note": "3y PIT: mom121 Sharpe 1.16 / lowvol 1.10 / 40-60 barbell 1.40 vs SPY 1.21 | 15y PIT: mom121 0.76, lowvol 0.90, barbell 0.93 vs SPY 0.87"
 },
 "factor_sleeves_refreshed_this_run": false,
 "dropped_on_avg_volume": [],
 "options_lens": {
  "horizon_sessions": 21,
  "max_ask": 30.0,
  "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
  "min_leverage": 3.0,
  "method": "Tradier chain + ORATS greeks; liquid calls only; strikes valued at the hold horizon (intrinsic, or Black-Scholes on residual time at current IV); cost = ask; target = implied 1-sigma expected move; EV over the 3y gated-momentum outcome distribution (lognormal fit); single calls and vertical debit spreads ranked against each other, among structures costing <= $3,000 per contract",
  "names": [
   {
    "ticker": "TEAM",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 149.07,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-07",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-10-16",
     "2026-12-18",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-03-19",
     "2027-06-17"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 18.78,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $145/$150)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 92,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 30,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 513,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 483,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 30 of 92 liquid calls fit, plus 513 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00160000/TEAM260918C00200000",
      "strike": 160.0,
      "short_strike": 200.0,
      "label": "$160/$200C",
      "width": 40.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 406.3,
      "bid": 6.6,
      "ask": 7.9,
      "mid": 7.25,
      "oi": 1029,
      "volume": 495,
      "iv": 0.6403,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3128,
      "cost_per_contract": 790.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 12.63,
      "return_if_target_pct": 121.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -65.3,
      "ev_return_pct": 0.4,
      "p_profit_pct": 33.1,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.47
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00150000/TEAM260918C00200000",
      "strike": 150.0,
      "short_strike": 200.0,
      "label": "$150/$200C",
      "width": 50.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 5000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 313.2,
      "bid": 10.4,
      "ask": 12.1,
      "mid": 11.25,
      "oi": 1185,
      "volume": 495,
      "iv": 0.6441,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4291,
      "cost_per_contract": 1210.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 8.74,
      "return_if_target_pct": 116.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -48.2,
      "ev_return_pct": 0.5,
      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.22
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00170000/TEAM260918C00200000",
      "strike": 170.0,
      "short_strike": 200.0,
      "label": "$170/$200C",
      "width": 30.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 3000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 525.0,
      "bid": 3.8,
      "ask": 4.8,
      "mid": 4.3,
      "oi": 318,
      "volume": 495,
      "iv": 0.6392,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2089,
      "cost_per_contract": 480.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 17.26,
      "return_if_target_pct": 114.3,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -78.8,
      "ev_return_pct": -0.1,
      "p_profit_pct": 30.1,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.08
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00170000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 170.0,
      "label": "$170C",
      "bid": 5.8,
      "ask": 6.4,
      "mid": 6.1,
      "oi": 318,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 1354,
      "iv": 0.6392,
      "delta": 0.3317,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 640.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 18.33,
      "return_if_target_pct": 85.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -83.7,
      "ev_return_pct": 4.0,
      "p_profit_pct": 25.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.54
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00160000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 160.0,
      "label": "$160C",
      "bid": 8.6,
      "ask": 9.5,
      "mid": 9.05,
      "oi": 1029,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 1530,
      "iv": 0.6403,
      "delta": 0.4356,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 950.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 13.7,
      "return_if_target_pct": 100.7,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -70.8,
      "ev_return_pct": 3.1,
      "p_profit_pct": 30.1,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 5.36
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00130000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 130.0,
      "label": "$130C",
      "bid": 24.0,
      "ask": 25.4,
      "mid": 24.7,
      "oi": 1947,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 2691,
      "iv": 0.6252,
      "delta": 0.7844,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 2540.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 4.25,
      "return_if_target_pct": 86.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -21.4,
      "ev_return_pct": 2.5,
      "p_profit_pct": 42.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.58
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00120000/TEAM260918C00165000",
      "strike": 120.0,
      "short_strike": 165.0,
      "label": "$120/$165C",
      "width": 45.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 70.5,
      "bid": 22.8,
      "ask": 26.4,
      "mid": 24.6,
      "oi": 673,
      "volume": 211,
      "iv": 0.6185,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4949,
      "cost_per_contract": 2640.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -1.79,
      "return_if_target_pct": 58.4,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 4.1,
      "ev_return_pct": -2.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 52.5,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.11
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00125000/TEAM260918C00160000",
      "strike": 125.0,
      "short_strike": 160.0,
      "label": "$125/$160C",
      "width": 35.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 3500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 65.9,
      "bid": 17.9,
      "ask": 21.1,
      "mid": 19.5,
      "oi": 435,
      "volume": 59,
      "iv": 0.6491,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3981,
      "cost_per_contract": 2110.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -1.99,
      "return_if_target_pct": 57.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 3.5,
      "ev_return_pct": -4.6,
      "p_profit_pct": 52.5,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.05
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00120000/TEAM260918C00170000",
      "strike": 120.0,
      "short_strike": 170.0,
      "label": "$120/$170C",
      "width": 50.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 5000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 80.5,
      "bid": 24.9,
      "ask": 27.7,
      "mid": 26.3,
      "oi": 318,
      "volume": 211,
      "iv": 0.6185,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.545,
      "cost_per_contract": 2770.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -0.92,
      "return_if_target_pct": 63.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 2.1,
      "ev_return_pct": -1.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 50.8,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.4
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 62 liquid call(s)",
     "149 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "483 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +18.8% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   },
   {
    "ticker": "COHR",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 379.13,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-07",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-10-16",
     "2026-11-20",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-03-19"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 28.73,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $370/$380)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 111,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 9,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 359,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 321,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 9 of 111 liquid calls fit, plus 359 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "COHR260918C00420000/COHR260918C00570000",
      "strike": 420.0,
      "short_strike": 570.0,
      "label": "$420/$570C",
      "width": 150.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 15000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 408.5,
      "bid": 22.2,
      "ask": 29.5,
      "mid": 25.85,
      "oi": 136,
      "volume": 1,
      "iv": 0.9992,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2829,
      "cost_per_contract": 2950.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 18.56,
      "return_if_target_pct": 125.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -60.6,
      "ev_return_pct": -23.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 27.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.38
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "COHR260918C00420000/COHR260918C00550000",
      "strike": 420.0,
      "short_strike": 550.0,
      "label": "$420/$550C",
      "width": 130.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 13000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 362.6,
      "bid": 20.0,
      "ask": 28.1,
      "mid": 24.05,
      "oi": 136,
      "volume": 29,
      "iv": 0.9992,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2581,
      "cost_per_contract": 2810.0,
      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 18.19,
      "return_if_target_pct": 124.4,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -59.3,
      "ev_return_pct": -23.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 28.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.33
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "COHR260918C00430000/COHR260918C00570000",
      "strike": 430.0,
      "short_strike": 570.0,
      "label": "$430/$570C",
      "width": 140.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 14000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 432.3,
      "bid": 19.3,
      "ask": 26.3,
      "mid": 22.8,
      "oi": 152,
      "volume": 1,
      "iv": 0.999,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2563,
      "cost_per_contract": 2630.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 20.35,
      "return_if_target_pct": 124.3,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -64.5,
      "ev_return_pct": -25.6,
      "p_profit_pct": 25.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.33
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "COHR260918C00380000/COHR260918C00450000",
      "strike": 380.0,
      "short_strike": 450.0,
      "label": "$380/$450C",
      "width": 70.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 7000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 166.2,
      "bid": 18.0,
      "ask": 26.3,
      "mid": 22.15,
      "oi": 382,
      "volume": 85,
      "iv": 0.9854,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1923,
      "cost_per_contract": 2630.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 7.17,
      "return_if_target_pct": 110.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -26.2,
      "ev_return_pct": -9.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.86
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "COHR260918C00370000/COHR260918C00440000",
      "strike": 370.0,
      "short_strike": 440.0,
      "label": "$370/$440C",
      "width": 70.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 7000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 134.9,
      "bid": 19.1,
      "ask": 29.8,
      "mid": 24.45,
      "oi": 148,
      "volume": 10,
      "iv": 0.9915,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1986,
      "cost_per_contract": 2980.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 5.45,
      "return_if_target_pct": 94.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -23.1,
      "ev_return_pct": -11.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.29
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "COHR260918C00370000/COHR260918C00430000",
      "strike": 370.0,
      "short_strike": 430.0,
      "label": "$370/$430C",
      "width": 60.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 123.0,
      "bid": 16.9,
      "ask": 26.9,
      "mid": 21.9,
      "oi": 152,
      "volume": 11,
      "iv": 0.9915,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1732,
      "cost_per_contract": 2690.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 4.69,
      "return_if_target_pct": 89.4,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -21.6,
      "ev_return_pct": -11.6,
      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.11
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "COHR260918C00370000/COHR260918C00440000",
      "strike": 370.0,
      "short_strike": 440.0,
      "label": "$370/$440C",
      "width": 70.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 7000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 134.9,
      "bid": 19.1,
      "ask": 29.8,
      "mid": 24.45,
      "oi": 148,
      "volume": 10,
      "iv": 0.9915,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1986,
      "cost_per_contract": 2980.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 5.45,
      "return_if_target_pct": 94.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -23.1,
      "ev_return_pct": -11.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.29
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "COHR260918C00370000/COHR260918C00430000",
      "strike": 370.0,
      "short_strike": 430.0,
      "label": "$370/$430C",
      "width": 60.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 123.0,
      "bid": 16.9,
      "ask": 26.9,
      "mid": 21.9,
      "oi": 152,
      "volume": 11,
      "iv": 0.9915,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1732,
      "cost_per_contract": 2690.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 4.69,
      "return_if_target_pct": 89.4,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -21.6,
      "ev_return_pct": -11.6,
      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.11
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "COHR260918C00380000/COHR260918C00450000",
      "strike": 380.0,
      "short_strike": 450.0,
      "label": "$380/$450C",
      "width": 70.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 7000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 166.2,
      "bid": 18.0,
      "ask": 26.3,
      "mid": 22.15,
      "oi": 382,
      "volume": 85,
      "iv": 0.9854,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1923,
      "cost_per_contract": 2630.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 7.17,
      "return_if_target_pct": 110.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -26.2,
      "ev_return_pct": -9.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.86
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 102 liquid call(s); every single call that fits is out-of-the-money, which inflates if-tgt and EV \u2014 read them beside P(win)",
     "60 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "321 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +28.7% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   },
   {
    "ticker": "AAOI",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 135.63,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-07",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-12-18",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-03-19",
     "2027-06-17"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 34.57,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $135/$140)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 142,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 46,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 1345,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 1180,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 46 of 142 liquid calls fit, plus 1345 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "AAOI260918C00140000/AAOI260918C00210000",
      "strike": 140.0,
      "short_strike": 210.0,
      "label": "$140/$210C",
      "width": 70.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 7000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 357.5,
      "bid": 13.7,
      "ask": 15.3,
      "mid": 14.5,
      "oi": 428,
      "volume": 128,
      "iv": 1.1963,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3512,
      "cost_per_contract": 1530.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 14.5,
      "return_if_target_pct": 148.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -40.1,
      "ev_return_pct": -14.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 33.1,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.3
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "AAOI260918C00140000/AAOI260918C00190000",
      "strike": 140.0,
      "short_strike": 190.0,
      "label": "$140/$190C",
      "width": 50.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 5000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 287.6,
      "bid": 10.9,
      "ask": 12.9,
      "mid": 11.9,
      "oi": 690,
      "volume": 142,
      "iv": 1.1963,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2797,
      "cost_per_contract": 1290.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 12.73,
      "return_if_target_pct": 146.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -33.6,
      "ev_return_pct": -10.4,
      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.24
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "AAOI260918C00150000/AAOI260918C00210000",
      "strike": 150.0,
      "short_strike": 210.0,
      "label": "$150/$210C",
      "width": 60.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 400.0,
      "bid": 10.3,
      "ask": 12.0,
      "mid": 11.15,
      "oi": 428,
      "volume": 128,
      "iv": 1.1808,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2843,
      "cost_per_contract": 1200.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 19.44,
      "return_if_target_pct": 145.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -52.9,
      "ev_return_pct": -23.1,
      "p_profit_pct": 28.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.22
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "AAOI260918C00110000/AAOI260918C00190000",
      "strike": 110.0,
      "short_strike": 190.0,
      "label": "$110/$190C",
      "width": 80.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 8000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 172.1,
      "bid": 25.5,
      "ask": 29.4,
      "mid": 27.45,
      "oi": 1178,
      "volume": 34,
      "iv": 1.1787,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4937,
      "cost_per_contract": 2940.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 2.78,
      "return_if_target_pct": 105.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -8.6,
      "ev_return_pct": -1.0,
      "p_profit_pct": 45.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.04
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "AAOI260918C00115000/AAOI260918C00180000",
      "strike": 115.0,
      "short_strike": 180.0,
      "label": "$115/$180C",
      "width": 65.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 161.0,
      "bid": 21.0,
      "ask": 24.9,
      "mid": 22.95,
      "oi": 217,
      "volume": 10,
      "iv": 1.1793,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4147,
      "cost_per_contract": 2490.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 3.15,
      "return_if_target_pct": 105.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -10.0,
      "ev_return_pct": -2.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 44.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.05
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "AAOI260918C00115000/AAOI260918C00185000",
      "strike": 115.0,
      "short_strike": 185.0,
      "label": "$115/$185C",
      "width": 70.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 7000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 172.4,
      "bid": 22.1,
      "ask": 25.7,
      "mid": 23.9,
      "oi": 217,
      "volume": 10,
      "iv": 1.1793,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4373,
      "cost_per_contract": 2570.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 3.74,
      "return_if_target_pct": 108.3,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -11.5,
      "ev_return_pct": -2.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 44.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.13
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "AAOI260918C00110000/AAOI260918C00190000",
      "strike": 110.0,
      "short_strike": 190.0,
      "label": "$110/$190C",
      "width": 80.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 8000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 172.1,
      "bid": 25.5,
      "ask": 29.4,
      "mid": 27.45,
      "oi": 1178,
      "volume": 34,
      "iv": 1.1787,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4937,
      "cost_per_contract": 2940.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 2.78,
      "return_if_target_pct": 105.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -8.6,
      "ev_return_pct": -1.0,
      "p_profit_pct": 45.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.04
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "AAOI260918C00115000/AAOI260918C00180000",
      "strike": 115.0,
      "short_strike": 180.0,
      "label": "$115/$180C",
      "width": 65.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 161.0,
      "bid": 21.0,
      "ask": 24.9,
      "mid": 22.95,
      "oi": 217,
      "volume": 10,
      "iv": 1.1793,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4147,
      "cost_per_contract": 2490.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 3.15,
      "return_if_target_pct": 105.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -10.0,
      "ev_return_pct": -2.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 44.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.05
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "AAOI260918C00115000/AAOI260918C00185000",
      "strike": 115.0,
      "short_strike": 185.0,
      "label": "$115/$185C",
      "width": 70.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 7000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 172.4,
      "bid": 22.1,
      "ask": 25.7,
      "mid": 23.9,
      "oi": 217,
      "volume": 10,
      "iv": 1.1793,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4373,
      "cost_per_contract": 2570.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 3.74,
      "return_if_target_pct": 108.3,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -11.5,
      "ev_return_pct": -2.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 44.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.13
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 96 liquid call(s)",
     "187 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "1180 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +34.6% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   },
   {
    "ticker": "PLTR",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 172.01,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-07",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-10-16",
     "2026-11-20",
     "2026-12-18",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-02-19"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 14.69,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $170/$175)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 299,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 148,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 2706,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 1303,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 148 of 299 liquid calls fit, plus 2706 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "PLTR260918C00190000/PLTR260918C00200000",
      "strike": 190.0,
      "short_strike": 200.0,
      "label": "$190/$200C",
      "width": 10.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 1000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 365.1,
      "bid": 1.95,
      "ask": 2.15,
      "mid": 2.05,
      "oi": 11349,
      "volume": 3389,
      "iv": 0.5062,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.0953,
      "cost_per_contract": 215.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 11.71,
      "return_if_target_pct": 146.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -66.0,
      "ev_return_pct": 23.1,
      "p_profit_pct": 37.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 9.98
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "PLTR260918C00185000/PLTR260918C00200000",
      "strike": 185.0,
      "short_strike": 200.0,
      "label": "$185/$200C",
      "width": 15.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 1500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 316.7,
      "bid": 3.3,
      "ask": 3.6,
      "mid": 3.45,
      "oi": 7460,
      "volume": 1822,
      "iv": 0.5059,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.152,
      "cost_per_contract": 360.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 9.64,
      "return_if_target_pct": 145.3,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -58.0,
      "ev_return_pct": 19.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 9.89
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "PLTR260918C00190000/PLTR260918C00210000",
      "strike": 190.0,
      "short_strike": 210.0,
      "label": "$190/$210C",
      "width": 20.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 2000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 481.4,
      "bid": 3.26,
      "ask": 3.44,
      "mid": 3.35,
      "oi": 6778,
      "volume": 1333,
      "iv": 0.5062,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1671,
      "cost_per_contract": 344.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 12.46,
      "return_if_target_pct": 145.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -72.1,
      "ev_return_pct": 32.5,
      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 9.87
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "PLTR260918C00210000/PLTR260918C00240000",
      "strike": 210.0,
      "short_strike": 240.0,
      "label": "$210/$240C",
      "width": 30.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 3000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 1654.4,
      "bid": 1.58,
      "ask": 1.71,
      "mid": 1.645,
      "oi": 1504,
      "volume": 194,
      "iv": 0.5236,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1127,
      "cost_per_contract": 171.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 23.08,
      "return_if_target_pct": 50.7,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -94.9,
      "ev_return_pct": 70.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 27.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.45
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "PLTR260918C00200000/PLTR260918C00330000",
      "strike": 200.0,
      "short_strike": 330.0,
      "label": "$200/$330C",
      "width": 130.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 13000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 3531.3,
      "bid": 3.46,
      "ask": 3.58,
      "mid": 3.52,
      "oi": 337,
      "volume": 0,
      "iv": 0.5134,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2244,
      "cost_per_contract": 358.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 18.35,
      "return_if_target_pct": 64.4,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -91.1,
      "ev_return_pct": 69.0,
      "p_profit_pct": 28.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.38
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "PLTR260918C00200000/PLTR260918C00300000",
      "strike": 200.0,
      "short_strike": 300.0,
      "label": "$200/$300C",
      "width": 100.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 10000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 2724.9,
      "bid": 3.43,
      "ask": 3.54,
      "mid": 3.485,
      "oi": 7850,
      "volume": 776,
      "iv": 0.5134,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2232,
      "cost_per_contract": 354.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 18.33,
      "return_if_target_pct": 66.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -91.0,
      "ev_return_pct": 68.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 28.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.51
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "PLTR260918C00150000/PLTR260918C00170000",
      "strike": 150.0,
      "short_strike": 170.0,
      "label": "$150/$170C",
      "width": 20.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 2000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 50.9,
      "bid": 12.7,
      "ask": 13.25,
      "mid": 12.975,
      "oi": 11422,
      "volume": 1583,
      "iv": 0.5189,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2435,
      "cost_per_contract": 1325.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -5.09,
      "return_if_target_pct": 48.7,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 16.7,
      "ev_return_pct": -4.1,
      "p_profit_pct": 57.4,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.32
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "PLTR260918C00155000/PLTR260918C00165000",
      "strike": 155.0,
      "short_strike": 165.0,
      "label": "$155/$165C",
      "width": 10.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 1000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 48.1,
      "bid": 6.25,
      "ask": 6.75,
      "mid": 6.5,
      "oi": 11134,
      "volume": 1527,
      "iv": 0.5123,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1237,
      "cost_per_contract": 675.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -5.96,
      "return_if_target_pct": 46.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 16.7,
      "ev_return_pct": -5.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 57.4,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.17
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "PLTR260918C00145000/PLTR260918C00180000",
      "strike": 145.0,
      "short_strike": 180.0,
      "label": "$145/$180C",
      "width": 35.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 3500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 61.7,
      "bid": 21.1,
      "ask": 21.65,
      "mid": 21.375,
      "oi": 3514,
      "volume": 322,
      "iv": 0.5292,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4223,
      "cost_per_contract": 2165.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -3.12,
      "return_if_target_pct": 55.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 12.4,
      "ev_return_pct": -2.1,
      "p_profit_pct": 55.8,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.8
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 151 liquid call(s)",
     "26 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "1303 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +14.7% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   },
   {
    "ticker": "U",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 43.0,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-07",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-11-20",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-02-19",
     "2027-05-21"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 18.1,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $41/$45)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 68,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 67,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 450,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 487,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 67 of 68 liquid calls fit, plus 450 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "U260918C00045000/U260918C00050000",
      "strike": 45.0,
      "short_strike": 50.0,
      "label": "$45/$50C",
      "width": 5.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 195.9,
      "bid": 1.12,
      "ask": 1.69,
      "mid": 1.405,
      "oi": 1272,
      "volume": 288,
      "iv": 0.6239,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.185,
      "cost_per_contract": 169.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 8.58,
      "return_if_target_pct": 108.9,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -47.7,
      "ev_return_pct": -6.6,
      "p_profit_pct": 37.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.02
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "U260918C00045000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 45.0,
      "label": "$45C",
      "bid": 2.63,
      "ask": 3.0,
      "mid": 2.815,
      "oi": 4432,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 419,
      "iv": 0.6239,
      "delta": 0.4549,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 300.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 11.63,
      "return_if_target_pct": 105.7,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -63.9,
      "ev_return_pct": 8.1,
      "p_profit_pct": 33.1,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 5.84
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "U260918C00041000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 41.0,
      "label": "$41C",
      "bid": 4.35,
      "ask": 4.9,
      "mid": 4.625,
      "oi": 198,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 11,
      "iv": 0.618,
      "delta": 0.6328,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 490.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 6.74,
      "return_if_target_pct": 101.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -38.7,
      "ev_return_pct": 6.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 37.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 5.61
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "U260918C00050000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 50.0,
      "label": "$50C",
      "bid": 1.31,
      "ask": 1.51,
      "mid": 1.4100000000000001,
      "oi": 1272,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 288,
      "iv": 0.6297,
      "delta": 0.2699,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 151.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 19.79,
      "return_if_target_pct": 74.9,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -86.8,
      "ev_return_pct": 10.4,
      "p_profit_pct": 25.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.14
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "U260918C00045000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 45.0,
      "label": "$45C",
      "bid": 2.63,
      "ask": 3.0,
      "mid": 2.815,
      "oi": 4432,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 419,
      "iv": 0.6239,
      "delta": 0.4549,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 300.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 11.63,
      "return_if_target_pct": 105.7,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -63.9,
      "ev_return_pct": 8.1,
      "p_profit_pct": 33.1,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 5.84
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "U260918C00039000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 39.0,
      "label": "$39C",
      "bid": 5.45,
      "ask": 6.0,
      "mid": 5.725,
      "oi": 161,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 5,
      "iv": 0.5984,
      "delta": 0.7183,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 600.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 4.65,
      "return_if_target_pct": 97.3,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -26.1,
      "ev_return_pct": 7.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 5.38
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "U260918C00037000/U260918C00045000",
      "strike": 37.0,
      "short_strike": 45.0,
      "label": "$37/$45C",
      "width": 8.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 800.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 62.6,
      "bid": 3.9,
      "ask": 4.92,
      "mid": 4.41,
      "oi": 396,
      "volume": 107,
      "iv": 0.6249,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3381,
      "cost_per_contract": 492.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -2.51,
      "return_if_target_pct": 55.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 4.1,
      "ev_return_pct": -5.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 52.5,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.07
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "U260918C00035000/U260918C00050000",
      "strike": 35.0,
      "short_strike": 50.0,
      "label": "$35/$50C",
      "width": 15.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 1500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 95.1,
      "bid": 7.04,
      "ask": 7.69,
      "mid": 7.365,
      "oi": 605,
      "volume": 175,
      "iv": 0.6191,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.5818,
      "cost_per_contract": 769.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -0.72,
      "return_if_target_pct": 71.4,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 2.6,
      "ev_return_pct": 1.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 50.8,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.95
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "U260918C00037000/U260918C00050000",
      "strike": 37.0,
      "short_strike": 50.0,
      "label": "$37/$50C",
      "width": 13.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 1300.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 108.3,
      "bid": 5.39,
      "ask": 6.24,
      "mid": 5.815,
      "oi": 396,
      "volume": 107,
      "iv": 0.6249,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.5231,
      "cost_per_contract": 624.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 0.56,
      "return_if_target_pct": 79.3,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -3.8,
      "ev_return_pct": -0.4,
      "p_profit_pct": 49.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.38
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 1 liquid call(s)",
     "23 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "487 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +18.1% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   },
   {
    "ticker": "SITM",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 725.28,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-07",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-11-20",
     "2026-12-18",
     "2027-02-19"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 23.43,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $720/$730)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 33,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 0,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 26,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 25,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 0 of 33 liquid calls fit, plus 26 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SITM260918C00750000/SITM260918C00810000",
      "strike": 750.0,
      "short_strike": 810.0,
      "label": "$750/$810C",
      "width": 60.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 117.4,
      "bid": 13.0,
      "ask": 27.6,
      "mid": 20.3,
      "oi": 51,
      "volume": 0,
      "iv": 0.8024,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1098,
      "cost_per_contract": 2760.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 7.21,
      "return_if_target_pct": 76.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -40.0,
      "ev_return_pct": -21.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.27
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SITM260918C00750000/SITM260918C00810000",
      "strike": 750.0,
      "short_strike": 810.0,
      "label": "$750/$810C",
      "width": 60.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 117.4,
      "bid": 13.0,
      "ask": 27.6,
      "mid": 20.3,
      "oi": 51,
      "volume": 0,
      "iv": 0.8024,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1098,
      "cost_per_contract": 2760.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 7.21,
      "return_if_target_pct": 76.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -40.0,
      "ev_return_pct": -21.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.27
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SITM260918C00750000/SITM260918C00810000",
      "strike": 750.0,
      "short_strike": 810.0,
      "label": "$750/$810C",
      "width": 60.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 117.4,
      "bid": 13.0,
      "ask": 27.6,
      "mid": 20.3,
      "oi": 51,
      "volume": 0,
      "iv": 0.8024,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1098,
      "cost_per_contract": 2760.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 7.21,
      "return_if_target_pct": 76.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -40.0,
      "ev_return_pct": -21.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.27
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 33 liquid call(s)",
     "3 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "25 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +23.4% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ],
    "liquidity_note": "RELAXED OI floor 25 (nothing at OI>=100 fit the $30.00 premium cap); expect wider fills and worse exits"
   },
   {
    "ticker": "PAYC",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 214.94,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-07",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-11-20",
     "2026-12-18",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-02-19"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 10.0,
    "target_source": "fallback +10% (nearest strike 23% from spot)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 6,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 2,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 9,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 9,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 2 of 6 liquid calls fit, plus 9 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "PAYC270115C00230000",
      "expiry": "2027-01-15",
      "strike": 230.0,
      "label": "$230C",
      "bid": 22.4,
      "ask": 25.0,
      "mid": 23.7,
      "oi": 106,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 0,
      "iv": 0.5009,
      "delta": 0.5005,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 2500.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 18.64,
      "return_if_target_pct": 30.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -17.0,
      "ev_return_pct": 9.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 42.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.05
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "PAYC270115C00240000",
      "expiry": "2027-01-15",
      "strike": 240.0,
      "label": "$240C",
      "bid": 18.8,
      "ask": 21.4,
      "mid": 20.1,
      "oi": 115,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 2,
      "iv": 0.4979,
      "delta": 0.4484,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 2140.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 21.62,
      "return_if_target_pct": 30.1,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -19.6,
      "ev_return_pct": 10.1,
      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.01
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "PAYC270115C00240000",
      "expiry": "2027-01-15",
      "strike": 240.0,
      "label": "$240C",
      "bid": 18.8,
      "ask": 21.4,
      "mid": 20.1,
      "oi": 115,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 2,
      "iv": 0.4979,
      "delta": 0.4484,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 2140.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 21.62,
      "return_if_target_pct": 30.1,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -19.6,
      "ev_return_pct": 10.1,
      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.01
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "PAYC270115C00230000",
      "expiry": "2027-01-15",
      "strike": 230.0,
      "label": "$230C",
      "bid": 22.4,
      "ask": 25.0,
      "mid": 23.7,
      "oi": 106,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 0,
      "iv": 0.5009,
      "delta": 0.5005,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 2500.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 18.64,
      "return_if_target_pct": 30.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -17.0,
      "ev_return_pct": 9.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 42.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.05
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "PAYC270115C00230000",
      "expiry": "2027-01-15",
      "strike": 230.0,
      "label": "$230C",
      "bid": 22.4,
      "ask": 25.0,
      "mid": 23.7,
      "oi": 106,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 0,
      "iv": 0.5009,
      "delta": 0.5005,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 2500.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 18.64,
      "return_if_target_pct": 30.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -17.0,
      "ev_return_pct": 9.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 42.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.05
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "PAYC270115C00240000",
      "expiry": "2027-01-15",
      "strike": 240.0,
      "label": "$240C",
      "bid": 18.8,
      "ask": 21.4,
      "mid": 20.1,
      "oi": 115,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 2,
      "iv": 0.4979,
      "delta": 0.4484,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 2140.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 21.62,
      "return_if_target_pct": 30.1,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -19.6,
      "ev_return_pct": 10.1,
      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.01
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 4 liquid call(s); every single call that fits is out-of-the-money, which inflates if-tgt and EV \u2014 read them beside P(win)",
     "2 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "9 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +10.0% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   },
   {
    "ticker": "SHOP",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 151.57,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-07",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-10-16",
     "2026-11-20",
     "2026-12-18",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-03-19"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 14.03,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $150/$155)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 145,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 73,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 1089,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 862,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 73 of 145 liquid calls fit, plus 1089 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SHOP260918C00165000/SHOP260918C00190000",
      "strike": 165.0,
      "short_strike": 190.0,
      "label": "$165/$190C",
      "width": 25.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 2500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 517.3,
      "bid": 3.39,
      "ask": 4.05,
      "mid": 3.72,
      "oi": 1172,
      "volume": 32,
      "iv": 0.4707,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2351,
      "cost_per_contract": 405.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 11.53,
      "return_if_target_pct": 131.9,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -75.1,
      "ev_return_pct": 35.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 9.4
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SHOP260918C00155000/SHOP260918C00190000",
      "strike": 155.0,
      "short_strike": 190.0,
      "label": "$155/$190C",
      "width": 35.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 3500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 357.5,
      "bid": 6.84,
      "ask": 7.65,
      "mid": 7.245,
      "oi": 1458,
      "volume": 51,
      "iv": 0.4751,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3862,
      "cost_per_contract": 765.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 7.31,
      "return_if_target_pct": 129.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -53.4,
      "ev_return_pct": 23.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 9.23
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SHOP260918C00155000/SHOP260918C00195000",
      "strike": 155.0,
      "short_strike": 195.0,
      "label": "$155/$195C",
      "width": 40.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 403.1,
      "bid": 7.15,
      "ask": 7.95,
      "mid": 7.55,
      "oi": 1458,
      "volume": 61,
      "iv": 0.4751,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4101,
      "cost_per_contract": 795.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 7.51,
      "return_if_target_pct": 126.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -55.0,
      "ev_return_pct": 26.1,
      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 9.04
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "SHOP260918C00175000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 175.0,
      "label": "$175C",
      "bid": 2.58,
      "ask": 2.95,
      "mid": 2.765,
      "oi": 44198,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 305,
      "iv": 0.4766,
      "delta": 0.2099,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 295.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 17.4,
      "return_if_target_pct": 63.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -92.1,
      "ev_return_pct": 86.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 28.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.5
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SHOP260918C00175000/SHOP260918C00250000",
      "strike": 175.0,
      "short_strike": 250.0,
      "label": "$175/$250C",
      "width": 75.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 7500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 2486.2,
      "bid": 2.48,
      "ask": 2.9,
      "mid": 2.69,
      "oi": 346,
      "volume": 0,
      "iv": 0.4766,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2086,
      "cost_per_contract": 290.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 17.37,
      "return_if_target_pct": 66.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -92.0,
      "ev_return_pct": 84.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 28.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.7
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SHOP260918C00175000/SHOP260918C00240000",
      "strike": 175.0,
      "short_strike": 240.0,
      "label": "$175/$240C",
      "width": 65.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 2126.0,
      "bid": 0.78,
      "ask": 2.92,
      "mid": 1.85,
      "oi": 208,
      "volume": 0,
      "iv": 0.4766,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.207,
      "cost_per_contract": 292.0,
      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 17.38,
      "return_if_target_pct": 63.9,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -92.0,
      "ev_return_pct": 75.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 28.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.55
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SHOP260918C00130000/SHOP260918C00155000",
      "strike": 130.0,
      "short_strike": 155.0,
      "label": "$130/$155C",
      "width": 25.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 2500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 47.9,
      "bid": 14.75,
      "ask": 16.9,
      "mid": 15.825,
      "oi": 1458,
      "volume": 81,
      "iv": 0.5012,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.366,
      "cost_per_contract": 1690.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -3.08,
      "return_if_target_pct": 44.4,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 8.4,
      "ev_return_pct": -8.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 54.1,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.16
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SHOP260918C00125000/SHOP260918C00165000",
      "strike": 125.0,
      "short_strike": 165.0,
      "label": "$125/$165C",
      "width": 40.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 60.3,
      "bid": 21.75,
      "ask": 24.95,
      "mid": 23.35,
      "oi": 1172,
      "volume": 32,
      "iv": 0.5958,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.565,
      "cost_per_contract": 2495.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -1.07,
      "return_if_target_pct": 50.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 3.7,
      "ev_return_pct": -5.4,
      "p_profit_pct": 52.5,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.61
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SHOP260918C00120000/SHOP260918C00165000",
      "strike": 120.0,
      "short_strike": 165.0,
      "label": "$120/$165C",
      "width": 45.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 50.5,
      "bid": 26.95,
      "ask": 29.9,
      "mid": 28.425,
      "oi": 1172,
      "volume": 32,
      "iv": 0.6768,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.6021,
      "cost_per_contract": 2990.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -1.1,
      "return_if_target_pct": 42.3,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 3.1,
      "ev_return_pct": -6.4,
      "p_profit_pct": 52.5,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.01
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 72 liquid call(s)",
     "294 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "862 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +14.0% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   }
  ]
 }
}