{
 "report_id": "2026-08-12_value_momentum",
 "report_date": "2026-08-12",
 "report_timestamp": "2026-08-12T22:11:04+00:00",
 "report_type": "hybrid",
 "generator": "mechanical screener v1 (FMP + EODHD), no LLM in the data path",
 "universe": {
  "country_listing": "US",
  "security_types": [
   "common_stock"
  ],
  "exclude": [
   "etf",
   "cef",
   "fund"
  ],
  "min_price": 5.0,
  "min_market_cap": 10000000000,
  "min_avg_daily_volume": 500000,
  "size": 819
 },
 "market_context": {
  "spy_close": 772.49,
  "spy_above_21d_ema": true,
  "note": "regime shown for reference; backtest found it non-predictive"
 },
 "picks": [
  {
   "pick_rank": 1,
   "screen_type": "value",
   "ticker": "BRK-B",
   "company_name": "Berkshire Hathaway Inc.",
   "sector": "Financial Services",
   "universe": "US large-cap common stocks",
   "price": 510.0,
   "market_cap": 1099822785162,
   "fifty_two_week_low": 465.4,
   "pct_above_52_week_low": 9.58,
   "trailing_pe": 0.03,
   "five_day_return_pct": -1.71,
   "roc_14d_pct": 3.9,
   "roc_21d_pct": 3.85,
   "rsi_14d": 52.64,
   "sma_20d": 506.57,
   "sma_50d": 497.75,
   "sma_200d": 491.45,
   "pct_vs_sma_20d": 0.68,
   "pct_vs_sma_50d": 2.46,
   "pct_vs_sma_200d": 3.78,
   "pct_off_52_week_high": -3.67,
   "avg_daily_volume_3m": 4828636,
   "risk_level": "medium",
   "above_200d_sma": true,
   "strategy_action": "long-watch \u2014 3y: 57% win, +1.7% avg per 21 sessions; weakest in 2025-26 tape",
   "outlook": "Deep value near lows; bounced more often than not over three years. The 2025-26 short-the-knife pattern did not hold over the full sample.",
   "screen_reason": [
    "Within 10% of 52-week low",
    "Trailing P/E <= 10",
    "Universe & liquidity filters passed"
   ],
   "price_series": {
    "basis": "eodhd adjusted_close (split+dividend adjusted); sma200 = 200-session rolling mean on the same basis",
    "dates": [
     "2025-08-12",
     "2025-08-13",
     "2025-08-14",
     "2025-08-15",
     "2025-08-18",
     "2025-08-19",
     "2025-08-20",
     "2025-08-21",
     "2025-08-22",
     "2025-08-25",
     "2025-08-26",
     "2025-08-27",
     "2025-08-28",
     "2025-08-29",
     "2025-09-02",
     "2025-09-03",
     "2025-09-04",
     "2025-09-05",
     "2025-09-08",
     "2025-09-09",
     "2025-09-10",
     "2025-09-11",
     "2025-09-12",
     "2025-09-15",
     "2025-09-16",
     "2025-09-17",
     "2025-09-18",
     "2025-09-19",
     "2025-09-22",
     "2025-09-23",
     "2025-09-24",
     "2025-09-25",
     "2025-09-26",
     "2025-09-29",
     "2025-09-30",
     "2025-10-01",
     "2025-10-02",
     "2025-10-03",
     "2025-10-06",
     "2025-10-07",
     "2025-10-08",
     "2025-10-09",
     "2025-10-10",
     "2025-10-13",
     "2025-10-14",
     "2025-10-15",
     "2025-10-16",
     "2025-10-17",
     "2025-10-20",
     "2025-10-21",
     "2025-10-22",
     "2025-10-23",
     "2025-10-24",
     "2025-10-27",
     "2025-10-28",
     "2025-10-29",
     "2025-10-30",
     "2025-10-31",
     "2025-11-03",
     "2025-11-04",
     "2025-11-05",
     "2025-11-06",
     "2025-11-07",
     "2025-11-10",
     "2025-11-11",
     "2025-11-12",
     "2025-11-13",
     "2025-11-14",
     "2025-11-17",
     "2025-11-18",
     "2025-11-19",
     "2025-11-20",
     "2025-11-21",
     "2025-11-24",
     "2025-11-25",
     "2025-11-26",
     "2025-11-28",
     "2025-12-01",
     "2025-12-02",
     "2025-12-03",
     "2025-12-04",
     "2025-12-05",
     "2025-12-08",
     "2025-12-09",
     "2025-12-10",
     "2025-12-11",
     "2025-12-12",
     "2025-12-15",
     "2025-12-16",
     "2025-12-17",
     "2025-12-18",
     "2025-12-19",
     "2025-12-22",
     "2025-12-23",
     "2025-12-24",
     "2025-12-26",
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     "2025-12-30",
     "2025-12-31",
     "2026-01-02",
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     "2026-01-06",
     "2026-01-07",
     "2026-01-08",
     "2026-01-09",
     "2026-01-12",
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     "2026-01-16",
     "2026-01-20",
     "2026-01-21",
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     "2026-08-06",
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    ],
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   },
   "overlap_with_other_screen": false
  },
  {
   "pick_rank": 2,
   "screen_type": "value",
   "ticker": "KEP",
   "company_name": "Korea Electric Power Corporation",
   "sector": "Utilities",
   "universe": "US large-cap common stocks",
   "price": 11.88,
   "market_cap": 15253064640,
   "fifty_two_week_low": 11.32,
   "pct_above_52_week_low": 4.95,
   "trailing_pe": 2.61,
   "five_day_return_pct": -3.88,
   "roc_14d_pct": -1.57,
   "roc_21d_pct": 2.95,
   "rsi_14d": 45.51,
   "sma_20d": 11.97,
   "sma_50d": 12.23,
   "sma_200d": 15.75,
   "pct_vs_sma_20d": -0.75,
   "pct_vs_sma_50d": -2.84,
   "pct_vs_sma_200d": -24.58,
   "pct_off_52_week_high": -48.93,
   "avg_daily_volume_3m": 1214437,
   "risk_level": "medium",
   "above_200d_sma": false,
   "strategy_action": "long-watch \u2014 3y: 57% win, +1.7% avg per 21 sessions; weakest in 2025-26 tape",
   "outlook": "Deep value near lows; bounced more often than not over three years. The 2025-26 short-the-knife pattern did not hold over the full sample.",
   "screen_reason": [
    "Within 10% of 52-week low",
    "Trailing P/E <= 10",
    "Universe & liquidity filters passed"
   ],
   "price_series": {
    "basis": "eodhd adjusted_close (split+dividend adjusted); sma200 = 200-session rolling mean on the same basis",
    "dates": [
     "2025-08-12",
     "2025-08-13",
     "2025-08-14",
     "2025-08-15",
     "2025-08-18",
     "2025-08-19",
     "2025-08-20",
     "2025-08-21",
     "2025-08-22",
     "2025-08-25",
     "2025-08-26",
     "2025-08-27",
     "2025-08-28",
     "2025-08-29",
     "2025-09-02",
     "2025-09-03",
     "2025-09-04",
     "2025-09-05",
     "2025-09-08",
     "2025-09-09",
     "2025-09-10",
     "2025-09-11",
     "2025-09-12",
     "2025-09-15",
     "2025-09-16",
     "2025-09-17",
     "2025-09-18",
     "2025-09-19",
     "2025-09-22",
     "2025-09-23",
     "2025-09-24",
     "2025-09-25",
     "2025-09-26",
     "2025-09-29",
     "2025-09-30",
     "2025-10-01",
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   },
   "overlap_with_other_screen": false
  },
  {
   "pick_rank": 3,
   "screen_type": "value",
   "ticker": "FISV",
   "company_name": "Fiserv, Inc.",
   "sector": "Technology",
   "universe": "US large-cap common stocks",
   "price": 51.56,
   "market_cap": 27494576240,
   "fifty_two_week_low": 47.18,
   "pct_above_52_week_low": 9.28,
   "trailing_pe": 9.88,
   "five_day_return_pct": -4.71,
   "roc_14d_pct": 3.18,
   "roc_21d_pct": 4.08,
   "rsi_14d": 46.18,
   "sma_20d": 52.66,
   "sma_50d": 51.71,
   "sma_200d": 60.24,
   "pct_vs_sma_20d": -2.1,
   "pct_vs_sma_50d": -0.29,
   "pct_vs_sma_200d": -14.41,
   "pct_off_52_week_high": -63.17,
   "avg_daily_volume_3m": 8221431,
   "risk_level": "medium",
   "above_200d_sma": false,
   "strategy_action": "long-watch \u2014 3y: 57% win, +1.7% avg per 21 sessions; weakest in 2025-26 tape",
   "outlook": "Deep value near lows; bounced more often than not over three years. The 2025-26 short-the-knife pattern did not hold over the full sample.",
   "screen_reason": [
    "Within 10% of 52-week low",
    "Trailing P/E <= 10",
    "Universe & liquidity filters passed"
   ],
   "price_series": {
    "basis": "eodhd adjusted_close (split+dividend adjusted); sma200 = 200-session rolling mean on the same basis",
    "dates": [
     "2025-08-12",
     "2025-08-13",
     "2025-08-14",
     "2025-08-15",
     "2025-08-18",
     "2025-08-19",
     "2025-08-20",
     "2025-08-21",
     "2025-08-22",
     "2025-08-25",
     "2025-08-26",
     "2025-08-27",
     "2025-08-28",
     "2025-08-29",
     "2025-09-02",
     "2025-09-03",
     "2025-09-04",
     "2025-09-05",
     "2025-09-08",
     "2025-09-09",
     "2025-09-10",
     "2025-09-11",
     "2025-09-12",
     "2025-09-15",
     "2025-09-16",
     "2025-09-17",
     "2025-09-18",
     "2025-09-19",
     "2025-09-22",
     "2025-09-23",
     "2025-09-24",
     "2025-09-25",
     "2025-09-26",
     "2025-09-29",
     "2025-09-30",
     "2025-10-01",
     "2025-10-02",
     "2025-10-03",
     "2025-10-06",
     "2025-10-07",
     "2025-10-08",
     "2025-10-09",
     "2025-10-10",
     "2025-10-13",
     "2025-10-14",
     "2025-10-15",
     "2025-10-16",
     "2025-10-17",
     "2025-10-20",
     "2025-10-21",
     "2025-10-22",
     "2025-10-23",
     "2025-10-24",
     "2025-10-27",
     "2025-10-28",
     "2025-10-29",
     "2025-10-30",
     "2025-10-31",
     "2025-11-03",
     "2025-11-04",
     "2025-11-05",
     "2025-11-06",
     "2025-11-07",
     "2025-11-10",
     "2025-11-11",
     "2025-11-12",
     "2025-11-13",
     "2025-11-14",
     "2025-11-17",
     "2025-11-18",
     "2025-11-19",
     "2025-11-20",
     "2025-11-21",
     "2025-11-24",
     "2025-11-25",
     "2025-11-26",
     "2025-11-28",
     "2025-12-01",
     "2025-12-02",
     "2025-12-03",
     "2025-12-04",
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     "2025-12-08",
     "2025-12-09",
     "2025-12-10",
     "2025-12-11",
     "2025-12-12",
     "2025-12-15",
     "2025-12-16",
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     "2025-12-18",
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     "2025-12-22",
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     "2025-12-24",
     "2025-12-26",
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     "2025-12-31",
     "2026-01-02",
     "2026-01-05",
     "2026-01-06",
     "2026-01-07",
     "2026-01-08",
     "2026-01-09",
     "2026-01-12",
     "2026-01-13",
     "2026-01-14",
     "2026-01-15",
     "2026-01-16",
     "2026-01-20",
     "2026-01-21",
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     "2026-01-27",
     "2026-01-28",
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     "2026-01-30",
     "2026-02-02",
     "2026-02-03",
     "2026-02-04",
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     "2026-02-06",
     "2026-02-09",
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     "2026-02-11",
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     "2026-03-13",
     "2026-03-16",
     "2026-03-17",
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   "strategy_action": "long, 21-day hold",
   "outlook": "Trend continuation setup. At 52-week high after a >20% five-day spike (no historical edge either way).",
   "screen_reason": [
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   "screen_type": "momentum",
   "ticker": "TWLO",
   "company_name": "Twilio Inc.",
   "sector": "Technology",
   "universe": "US large-cap common stocks",
   "price": 246.62,
   "market_cap": 37430469353,
   "fifty_two_week_low": 95.23,
   "pct_above_52_week_low": 158.97,
   "trailing_pe": null,
   "five_day_return_pct": 27.64,
   "roc_14d_pct": 33.26,
   "roc_21d_pct": 13.22,
   "rsi_14d": 70.06,
   "sma_20d": 205.56,
   "sma_50d": 206.28,
   "sma_200d": 154.13,
   "pct_vs_sma_20d": 19.98,
   "pct_vs_sma_50d": 19.56,
   "pct_vs_sma_200d": 60.01,
   "pct_off_52_week_high": -3.65,
   "avg_daily_volume_3m": 2460605,
   "risk_level": "high",
   "above_200d_sma": true,
   "strategy_action": "long, 21-day hold",
   "outlook": "Trend continuation setup.",
   "screen_reason": [
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    "Universe & liquidity filters passed"
   ],
   "price_series": {
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    "dates": [
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 ],
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  "basis": "5-day return on EODHD adjusted closes \u2014 the same sort that selects the momentum top 10, kept for the whole liquid universe",
  "unit": "percent",
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   ],
   [
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   ],
   [
    "DOCN",
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   ],
   [
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   [
    "KGC",
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   [
    "HUM",
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   [
    "GLW",
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   [
    "APO",
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   [
    "CART",
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   ],
   [
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   [
    "EOG",
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   ],
   [
    "DINO",
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   [
    "TKO",
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   [
    "NOW",
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   [
    "DVN",
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   [
    "WBD",
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   [
    "GMED",
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   [
    "NET",
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   [
    "CNQ",
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   [
    "GIS",
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   [
    "DEO",
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   ],
   [
    "FIVE",
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   [
    "TPG",
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   [
    "ORCL",
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   [
    "PTC",
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   [
    "ARMK",
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   [
    "LRCX",
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   [
    "NTNX",
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   ],
   [
    "EXE",
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    "OKE",
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    "MPWR",
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   [
    "TEVA",
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   ],
   [
    "OWL",
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   [
    "CRWD",
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   [
    "CIEN",
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   [
    "RCI",
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   [
    "NVT",
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    "MOH",
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   [
    "FLUT",
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    "MDT",
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   [
    "EQT",
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    "ACN",
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    "KEYS",
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    "LNG",
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   [
    "CVX",
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    "ECHO",
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    "SLB",
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   [
    "MTZ",
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   [
    "XOM",
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   [
    "BEP",
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   ],
   [
    "TTMI",
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    "KKR",
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   [
    "FDX",
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   [
    "T",
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   [
    "CEG",
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   [
    "AM",
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    "TIGO",
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   [
    "VOD",
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   [
    "TGT",
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   [
    "A",
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    "CCJ",
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   [
    "LMT",
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    "SAIL",
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   ],
   [
    "ABT",
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   ],
   [
    "SONY",
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   [
    "SANM",
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   [
    "SNOW",
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   [
    "BCE",
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   [
    "STX",
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   [
    "BG",
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   [
    "Q",
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   [
    "ET",
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   [
    "DELL",
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   [
    "OMC",
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   [
    "ALSN",
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   [
    "HAL",
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   [
    "BKR",
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   ],
   [
    "EW",
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   [
    "ROIV",
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   ],
   [
    "ZM",
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   [
    "FAST",
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   [
    "WES",
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   ],
   [
    "XPO",
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   ],
   [
    "TMO",
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   [
    "MICC",
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   [
    "VST",
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   [
    "CTSH",
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   ],
   [
    "CVNA",
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   ],
   [
    "LLY",
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   ],
   [
    "SHOP",
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   [
    "ALC",
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   ],
   [
    "APG",
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   [
    "NVO",
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   [
    "BP",
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   [
    "FNV",
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    "TAK",
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    "HAS",
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   [
    "RL",
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   [
    "TRI",
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   [
    "WAT",
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   [
    "RVMD",
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   [
    "SWKS",
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   [
    "ADSK",
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    "NXT",
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   [
    "RMBS",
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   [
    "NTRS",
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   [
    "VRT",
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    "PBA",
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   [
    "TSM",
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   [
    "TYL",
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   [
    "BR",
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   [
    "MRK",
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   [
    "BAM",
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   [
    "QCOM",
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   [
    "RSG",
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   [
    "TTE",
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   [
    "EC",
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   [
    "SAP",
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   [
    "TTWO",
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   [
    "TER",
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    "TRGP",
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   [
    "IBKR",
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   [
    "ROKU",
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   [
    "WMT",
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   [
    "VICR",
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   [
    "AMKR",
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   [
    "CHKP",
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   [
    "BEKE",
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    "APTV",
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    "GILD",
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   [
    "AVY",
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   [
    "BWA",
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   [
    "ETN",
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    "DHR",
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   [
    "UNM",
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   [
    "DOW",
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   [
    "SYK",
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    "MPLX",
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    "CMCSA",
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   [
    "GEHC",
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    "FLS",
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   [
    "MRVL",
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    "SNPS",
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    "ARCC",
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    "CF",
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    "FFIV",
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    "TXRH",
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    "ADM",
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    "WDAY",
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    "LECO",
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    "AUR",
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   [
    "STM",
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    "HPQ",
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    "WSE",
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    "BNY",
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    "GD",
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    "SHEL",
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    "WMB",
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    "SBAC",
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    "AMAT",
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    "HSY",
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    "SMFG",
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    "CI",
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    "RPRX",
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    "BWXT",
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    "ZBRA",
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    "STZ",
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    "BKNG",
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    "MOD",
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    "COO",
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    "DASH",
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    "RVTY",
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    "GEN",
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    "BAC",
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    "STRL",
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    "IQV",
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    "RIVN",
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    "SBUX",
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    "HMC",
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    "HOOD",
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    "DTM",
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    "BBIO",
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    "OC",
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    "ICLR",
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    "SKHY",
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    "NVDA",
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    "SN",
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    "COKE",
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    "FLEX",
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    "SNY",
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    "GEV",
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   [
    "PRU",
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   [
    "MCHP",
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   [
    "TMUS",
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    "GNRC",
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   [
    "INTU",
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   [
    "RDY",
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    "GPC",
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    "AMGN",
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   [
    "MU",
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   [
    "ELV",
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   [
    "BNS",
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    "CPNG",
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    "AGNC",
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    "KMI",
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   [
    "CSCO",
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   [
    "NLY",
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    "PFE",
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    "VNOM",
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    "TSLA",
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    "EXPE",
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    "ARES",
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    "XEL",
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    "WYNN",
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    "FROG",
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    "ADI",
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   [
    "TD",
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    "PAYX",
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    "AJG",
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   [
    "EFX",
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    "SSB",
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   [
    "SU",
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    "EXPD",
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   [
    "STE",
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    "JPM",
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   [
    "STT",
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    "EMBJ",
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    "LHX",
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   [
    "SW",
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    "WTRG",
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    "EIX",
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    "IOT",
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    "TW",
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    "FTAI",
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    "BBVA",
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   [
    "SPOT",
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    "MUFG",
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    "IEX",
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   [
    "SRE",
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   [
    "HBAN",
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    "AME",
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    "DIS",
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    "AMT",
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    "HSBC",
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    "JBHT",
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   [
    "RKT",
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    "CP",
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    "EWBC",
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    "CORT",
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    "STRC",
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    "DE",
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    "JNJ",
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    "USB",
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    "DB",
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    "AWK",
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    "SAN",
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    "SSNC",
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    "HCA",
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 },
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   "BIP",
   "BAC",
   "YUM",
   "AGNC",
   "PLD",
   "ES",
   "PFG",
   "ETR",
   "DTM",
   "WRB",
   "CP",
   "PEP",
   "NEE",
   "FHN",
   "ACGL",
   "JPM",
   "AIG",
   "TRV",
   "NSC",
   "CL",
   "ITW",
   "WMB",
   "CINF",
   "ZTO",
   "EWBC",
   "V",
   "HST",
   "AWK",
   "UNM",
   "KEY",
   "BNY",
   "ONB",
   "EXR",
   "IBN",
   "ECL",
   "PRU",
   "USB",
   "CSX",
   "HLT",
   "LH",
   "APD",
   "SNY",
   "AME",
   "SSB",
   "MA",
   "OTIS",
   "MET",
   "RF",
   "VTR",
   "HLN",
   "AEG",
   "GD",
   "VZ",
   "UNP",
   "CVX",
   "PSA",
   "CCEP",
   "NGG",
   "SHEL",
   "WELL",
   "MDLZ",
   "PSO",
   "EIX",
   "STT",
   "DGX",
   "KMB",
   "ALL",
   "PCG",
   "TROW",
   "QSR",
   "NTRS",
   "FMX",
   "SEIC",
   "SFD",
   "AVY",
   "VLTO",
   "MDT",
   "CFG",
   "ADM",
   "TFC"
  ],
  "lowvol_n": 165,
  "universe_n": 828,
  "backtest_note": "3y PIT: mom121 Sharpe 1.16 / lowvol 1.10 / 40-60 barbell 1.40 vs SPY 1.21 | 15y PIT: mom121 0.76, lowvol 0.90, barbell 0.93 vs SPY 0.87"
 },
 "factor_sleeves_refreshed_this_run": false,
 "dropped_on_avg_volume": [],
 "options_lens": {
  "horizon_sessions": 21,
  "max_ask": 30.0,
  "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
  "min_leverage": 3.0,
  "method": "Tradier chain + ORATS greeks; liquid calls only; strikes valued at the hold horizon (intrinsic, or Black-Scholes on residual time at current IV); cost = ask; target = implied 1-sigma expected move; EV over the 3y gated-momentum outcome distribution (lognormal fit); single calls and vertical debit spreads ranked against each other, among structures costing <= $3,000 per contract",
  "names": [
   {
    "ticker": "TEAM",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 155.24,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-10",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-10-16",
     "2026-11-20",
     "2026-12-18",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-03-19"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 17.01,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $155/$160)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 89,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 32,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 561,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 509,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 32 of 89 liquid calls fit, plus 561 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00150000/TEAM260918C00185000",
      "strike": 150.0,
      "short_strike": 185.0,
      "label": "$150/$185C",
      "width": 35.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 3500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 199.1,
      "bid": 9.5,
      "ask": 11.7,
      "mid": 10.6,
      "oi": 176,
      "volume": 12,
      "iv": 0.553,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3967,
      "cost_per_contract": 1170.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 4.16,
      "return_if_target_pct": 128.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -31.9,
      "ev_return_pct": 6.0,
      "p_profit_pct": 42.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 7.54
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00150000/TEAM260918C00200000",
      "strike": 150.0,
      "short_strike": 200.0,
      "label": "$150/$200C",
      "width": 50.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 5000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 273.1,
      "bid": 11.35,
      "ask": 13.4,
      "mid": 12.375,
      "oi": 1503,
      "volume": 12,
      "iv": 0.553,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4932,
      "cost_per_contract": 1340.0,
      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 5.26,
      "return_if_target_pct": 127.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -39.5,
      "ev_return_pct": 9.0,
      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 7.5
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00150000/TEAM260918C00195000",
      "strike": 150.0,
      "short_strike": 195.0,
      "label": "$150/$195C",
      "width": 45.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 246.2,
      "bid": 9.9,
      "ask": 13.0,
      "mid": 11.45,
      "oi": 119,
      "volume": 9,
      "iv": 0.553,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4661,
      "cost_per_contract": 1300.0,
      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 5.0,
      "return_if_target_pct": 125.9,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -37.9,
      "ev_return_pct": 7.0,
      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 7.4
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00175000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 175.0,
      "label": "$175C",
      "bid": 4.9,
      "ask": 6.0,
      "mid": 5.45,
      "oi": 954,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 20,
      "iv": 0.6034,
      "delta": 0.3174,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 600.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 16.59,
      "return_if_target_pct": 72.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -89.6,
      "ev_return_pct": 14.5,
      "p_profit_pct": 27.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.23
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00150000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 150.0,
      "label": "$150C",
      "bid": 13.3,
      "ask": 14.9,
      "mid": 14.100000000000001,
      "oi": 3618,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 12,
      "iv": 0.553,
      "delta": 0.6242,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 1490.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 6.22,
      "return_if_target_pct": 113.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -45.5,
      "ev_return_pct": 13.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.68
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00150000/TEAM260918C00250000",
      "strike": 150.0,
      "short_strike": 250.0,
      "label": "$150/$250C",
      "width": 100.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 10000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 575.7,
      "bid": 12.65,
      "ask": 14.8,
      "mid": 13.725,
      "oi": 147,
      "volume": 0,
      "iv": 0.553,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.6091,
      "cost_per_contract": 1480.0,
      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 6.16,
      "return_if_target_pct": 115.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -45.1,
      "ev_return_pct": 13.0,
      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.76
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00130000/TEAM260918C00170000",
      "strike": 130.0,
      "short_strike": 170.0,
      "label": "$130/$170C",
      "width": 40.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 64.6,
      "bid": 19.6,
      "ask": 24.3,
      "mid": 21.95,
      "oi": 1478,
      "volume": 9,
      "iv": 0.6024,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.483,
      "cost_per_contract": 2430.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -0.61,
      "return_if_target_pct": 55.9,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -0.2,
      "ev_return_pct": -7.6,
      "p_profit_pct": 50.8,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.29
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00130000/TEAM260918C00175000",
      "strike": 130.0,
      "short_strike": 175.0,
      "label": "$130/$175C",
      "width": 45.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 75.8,
      "bid": 21.1,
      "ask": 25.6,
      "mid": 23.35,
      "oi": 954,
      "volume": 20,
      "iv": 0.6024,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.5357,
      "cost_per_contract": 2560.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 0.23,
      "return_if_target_pct": 61.9,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -3.0,
      "ev_return_pct": -6.4,
      "p_profit_pct": 49.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.64
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TEAM260918C00130000/TEAM260918C00185000",
      "strike": 130.0,
      "short_strike": 185.0,
      "label": "$130/$185C",
      "width": 55.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 5500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 101.5,
      "bid": 23.3,
      "ask": 27.3,
      "mid": 25.3,
      "oi": 176,
      "volume": 50,
      "iv": 0.6024,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.6256,
      "cost_per_contract": 2730.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 1.33,
      "return_if_target_pct": 70.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -7.3,
      "ev_return_pct": -3.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 47.5,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.16
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 57 liquid call(s)",
     "203 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "509 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +17.0% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   },
   {
    "ticker": "SPCX",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 146.15,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-10",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-10-16",
     "2026-11-20",
     "2026-12-18",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-02-19"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 19.83,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $145/$150)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 331,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 273,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 7334,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 3816,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 273 of 331 liquid calls fit, plus 7334 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SPCX260918C00160000/SPCX260918C00175000",
      "strike": 160.0,
      "short_strike": 175.0,
      "label": "$160/$175C",
      "width": 15.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 1500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 322.5,
      "bid": 3.2,
      "ask": 3.55,
      "mid": 3.375,
      "oi": 10990,
      "volume": 3736,
      "iv": 0.7187,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.135,
      "cost_per_contract": 355.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 11.91,
      "return_if_target_pct": 166.1,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -59.3,
      "ev_return_pct": 7.0,
      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 8.38
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SPCX260918C00160000/SPCX260918C00180000",
      "strike": 160.0,
      "short_strike": 180.0,
      "label": "$160/$180C",
      "width": 20.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 2000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 359.8,
      "bid": 4.0,
      "ask": 4.35,
      "mid": 4.175,
      "oi": 13083,
      "volume": 3381,
      "iv": 0.7187,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1715,
      "cost_per_contract": 435.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 12.45,
      "return_if_target_pct": 165.1,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -63.1,
      "ev_return_pct": 7.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 34.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 8.32
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SPCX260918C00155000/SPCX260918C00175000",
      "strike": 155.0,
      "short_strike": 175.0,
      "label": "$155/$175C",
      "width": 20.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 2000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 288.3,
      "bid": 4.8,
      "ask": 5.15,
      "mid": 4.975,
      "oi": 10990,
      "volume": 2881,
      "iv": 0.7131,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1876,
      "cost_per_contract": 515.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 9.58,
      "return_if_target_pct": 163.3,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -50.6,
      "ev_return_pct": 7.9,
      "p_profit_pct": 37.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 8.23
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SPCX260918C00155000/SPCX260918C00200000",
      "strike": 155.0,
      "short_strike": 200.0,
      "label": "$155/$200C",
      "width": 45.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 471.8,
      "bid": 7.59,
      "ask": 7.87,
      "mid": 7.73,
      "oi": 11072,
      "volume": 2881,
      "iv": 0.7131,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3252,
      "cost_per_contract": 787.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 11.44,
      "return_if_target_pct": 153.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -63.3,
      "ev_return_pct": 8.9,
      "p_profit_pct": 34.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 7.76
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SPCX260918C00150000/SPCX260918C00200000",
      "strike": 150.0,
      "short_strike": 200.0,
      "label": "$150/$200C",
      "width": 50.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 5000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 411.8,
      "bid": 9.39,
      "ask": 9.77,
      "mid": 9.58,
      "oi": 15602,
      "volume": 3730,
      "iv": 0.7106,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3807,
      "cost_per_contract": 977.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 9.32,
      "return_if_target_pct": 150.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -53.9,
      "ev_return_pct": 8.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 7.57
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SPCX260918C00155000/SPCX260918C00195000",
      "strike": 155.0,
      "short_strike": 195.0,
      "label": "$155/$195C",
      "width": 40.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 431.2,
      "bid": 7.22,
      "ask": 7.53,
      "mid": 7.375,
      "oi": 2114,
      "volume": 561,
      "iv": 0.7131,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.306,
      "cost_per_contract": 753.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 11.21,
      "return_if_target_pct": 157.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -61.8,
      "ev_return_pct": 8.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 34.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 7.92
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SPCX260918C00125000/SPCX260918C00155000",
      "strike": 125.0,
      "short_strike": 155.0,
      "label": "$125/$155C",
      "width": 30.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 3000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 82.4,
      "bid": 14.75,
      "ask": 16.45,
      "mid": 15.6,
      "oi": 4627,
      "volume": 491,
      "iv": 0.6781,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3497,
      "cost_per_contract": 1645.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -3.22,
      "return_if_target_pct": 75.9,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 13.6,
      "ev_return_pct": 3.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 55.8,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.83
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SPCX260918C00120000/SPCX260918C00155000",
      "strike": 120.0,
      "short_strike": 155.0,
      "label": "$120/$155C",
      "width": 35.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 3500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 71.1,
      "bid": 18.5,
      "ask": 20.45,
      "mid": 19.475,
      "oi": 6138,
      "volume": 398,
      "iv": 0.6878,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3957,
      "cost_per_contract": 2045.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -3.9,
      "return_if_target_pct": 65.9,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 14.8,
      "ev_return_pct": 2.9,
      "p_profit_pct": 55.8,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.32
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SPCX260918C00115000/SPCX260918C00160000",
      "strike": 115.0,
      "short_strike": 160.0,
      "label": "$115/$160C",
      "width": 45.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 70.8,
      "bid": 24.15,
      "ask": 26.35,
      "mid": 25.25,
      "oi": 13083,
      "volume": 175,
      "iv": 0.6915,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4845,
      "cost_per_contract": 2635.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -3.28,
      "return_if_target_pct": 63.3,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 11.9,
      "ev_return_pct": 2.5,
      "p_profit_pct": 55.8,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.19
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 58 liquid call(s)",
     "40 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "3816 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +19.8% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   },
   {
    "ticker": "P",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 111.4,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-10",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-11-20",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-02-19",
     "2027-06-17"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 22.58,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $110/$115)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 46,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 27,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 223,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 219,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 27 of 46 liquid calls fit, plus 223 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "P260918C00120000/P260918C00150000",
      "strike": 120.0,
      "short_strike": 150.0,
      "label": "$120/$150C",
      "width": 30.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 3000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 365.1,
      "bid": 5.15,
      "ask": 6.45,
      "mid": 5.8,
      "oi": 306,
      "volume": 66,
      "iv": 0.7955,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2852,
      "cost_per_contract": 645.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 13.51,
      "return_if_target_pct": 141.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -66.3,
      "ev_return_pct": -8.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 31.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.25
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "P260918C00110000/P260918C00150000",
      "strike": 110.0,
      "short_strike": 150.0,
      "label": "$110/$150C",
      "width": 40.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 272.1,
      "bid": 8.95,
      "ask": 10.75,
      "mid": 9.85,
      "oi": 259,
      "volume": 80,
      "iv": 0.7974,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4231,
      "cost_per_contract": 1075.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 8.39,
      "return_if_target_pct": 129.9,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -44.6,
      "ev_return_pct": -4.9,
      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 5.75
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "P260918C00115000/P260918C00150000",
      "strike": 115.0,
      "short_strike": 150.0,
      "label": "$115/$150C",
      "width": 35.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 3500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 300.0,
      "bid": 6.95,
      "ask": 8.75,
      "mid": 7.85,
      "oi": 425,
      "volume": 71,
      "iv": 0.8101,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3529,
      "cost_per_contract": 875.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 11.09,
      "return_if_target_pct": 129.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -56.5,
      "ev_return_pct": -9.6,
      "p_profit_pct": 33.1,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 5.71
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "P260918C00085000/P260918C00150000",
      "strike": 85.0,
      "short_strike": 150.0,
      "label": "$85/$150C",
      "width": 65.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 134.2,
      "bid": 25.35,
      "ask": 27.75,
      "mid": 26.55,
      "oi": 994,
      "volume": 64,
      "iv": 0.8381,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.7338,
      "cost_per_contract": 2775.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 1.21,
      "return_if_target_pct": 78.4,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -4.5,
      "ev_return_pct": 1.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 47.5,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.47
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "P260918C00090000/P260918C00150000",
      "strike": 90.0,
      "short_strike": 150.0,
      "label": "$90/$150C",
      "width": 60.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 153.7,
      "bid": 21.35,
      "ask": 23.65,
      "mid": 22.5,
      "oi": 370,
      "volume": 2,
      "iv": 0.8293,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.6857,
      "cost_per_contract": 2365.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 2.02,
      "return_if_target_pct": 88.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -8.5,
      "ev_return_pct": 0.6,
      "p_profit_pct": 45.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.91
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "P270115C00120000",
      "expiry": "2027-01-15",
      "strike": 120.0,
      "label": "$120C",
      "bid": 17.2,
      "ask": 18.8,
      "mid": 18.0,
      "oi": 951,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 144,
      "iv": 0.7206,
      "delta": 0.5374,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 1880.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 24.6,
      "return_if_target_pct": 68.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -14.6,
      "ev_return_pct": 0.4,
      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.05
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "P260918C00085000/P260918C00150000",
      "strike": 85.0,
      "short_strike": 150.0,
      "label": "$85/$150C",
      "width": 65.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 134.2,
      "bid": 25.35,
      "ask": 27.75,
      "mid": 26.55,
      "oi": 994,
      "volume": 64,
      "iv": 0.8381,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.7338,
      "cost_per_contract": 2775.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 1.21,
      "return_if_target_pct": 78.4,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -4.5,
      "ev_return_pct": 1.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 47.5,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.47
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "P260918C00100000/P260918C00120000",
      "strike": 100.0,
      "short_strike": 120.0,
      "label": "$100/$120C",
      "width": 20.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 2000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 78.6,
      "bid": 8.5,
      "ask": 11.2,
      "mid": 9.85,
      "oi": 306,
      "volume": 57,
      "iv": 0.8289,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.278,
      "cost_per_contract": 1120.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -0.18,
      "return_if_target_pct": 69.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -5.2,
      "ev_return_pct": -7.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 47.5,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.08
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "P260918C00090000/P260918C00150000",
      "strike": 90.0,
      "short_strike": 150.0,
      "label": "$90/$150C",
      "width": 60.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 153.7,
      "bid": 21.35,
      "ask": 23.65,
      "mid": 22.5,
      "oi": 370,
      "volume": 2,
      "iv": 0.8293,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.6857,
      "cost_per_contract": 2365.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 2.02,
      "return_if_target_pct": 88.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -8.5,
      "ev_return_pct": 0.6,
      "p_profit_pct": 45.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.91
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 19 liquid call(s)",
     "219 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +22.6% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   },
   {
    "ticker": "TWLO",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 246.62,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-10",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-10-16",
     "2026-11-20",
     "2026-12-18",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-02-19"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 13.78,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $240/$250)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 62,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 13,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 97,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 70,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 13 of 62 liquid calls fit, plus 97 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TWLO260918C00250000/TWLO260918C00300000",
      "strike": 250.0,
      "short_strike": 300.0,
      "label": "$250/$300C",
      "width": 50.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 5000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 286.1,
      "bid": 11.25,
      "ask": 12.95,
      "mid": 12.1,
      "oi": 562,
      "volume": 18,
      "iv": 0.49,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3846,
      "cost_per_contract": 1295.0,
      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 6.62,
      "return_if_target_pct": 126.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -56.0,
      "ev_return_pct": 15.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 9.14
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TWLO260918C00260000/TWLO260918C00300000",
      "strike": 260.0,
      "short_strike": 300.0,
      "label": "$260/$300C",
      "width": 40.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 342.0,
      "bid": 7.35,
      "ask": 9.05,
      "mid": 8.2,
      "oi": 276,
      "volume": 29,
      "iv": 0.4898,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2856,
      "cost_per_contract": 905.0,
      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 9.09,
      "return_if_target_pct": 124.1,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -72.0,
      "ev_return_pct": 17.9,
      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 9.01
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TWLO260918C00250000/TWLO260918C00290000",
      "strike": 250.0,
      "short_strike": 290.0,
      "label": "$250/$290C",
      "width": 40.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 229.2,
      "bid": 10.2,
      "ask": 12.15,
      "mid": 11.175,
      "oi": 166,
      "volume": 18,
      "iv": 0.49,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3335,
      "cost_per_contract": 1215.0,
      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 6.3,
      "return_if_target_pct": 122.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -53.5,
      "ev_return_pct": 8.6,
      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 8.91
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "TWLO260918C00280000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 280.0,
      "label": "$280C",
      "bid": 4.5,
      "ask": 5.2,
      "mid": 4.85,
      "oi": 144,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 95,
      "iv": 0.4809,
      "delta": 0.238,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 520.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 15.64,
      "return_if_target_pct": 61.3,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -94.5,
      "ev_return_pct": 87.0,
      "p_profit_pct": 28.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.45
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "TWLO260918C00260000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 260.0,
      "label": "$260C",
      "bid": 9.8,
      "ask": 10.9,
      "mid": 10.350000000000001,
      "oi": 276,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 29,
      "iv": 0.4898,
      "delta": 0.4076,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 1090.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 9.85,
      "return_if_target_pct": 104.3,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -76.6,
      "ev_return_pct": 49.0,
      "p_profit_pct": 34.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 7.57
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "TWLO260918C00250000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 250.0,
      "label": "$250C",
      "bid": 13.7,
      "ask": 14.8,
      "mid": 14.25,
      "oi": 1199,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 18,
      "iv": 0.49,
      "delta": 0.5066,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 1480.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 7.37,
      "return_if_target_pct": 111.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -61.4,
      "ev_return_pct": 38.9,
      "p_profit_pct": 37.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 8.07
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TWLO260918C00210000/TWLO260918C00250000",
      "strike": 210.0,
      "short_strike": 250.0,
      "label": "$210/$250C",
      "width": 40.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 43.9,
      "bid": 24.4,
      "ask": 27.8,
      "mid": 26.1,
      "oi": 501,
      "volume": 18,
      "iv": 0.5096,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3594,
      "cost_per_contract": 2780.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -3.58,
      "return_if_target_pct": 42.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 12.2,
      "ev_return_pct": -8.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 55.8,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.06
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TWLO260918C00220000/TWLO260918C00250000",
      "strike": 220.0,
      "short_strike": 250.0,
      "label": "$220/$250C",
      "width": 30.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 3000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 53.1,
      "bid": 16.0,
      "ask": 19.6,
      "mid": 17.8,
      "oi": 469,
      "volume": 3,
      "iv": 0.4922,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2869,
      "cost_per_contract": 1960.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -2.85,
      "return_if_target_pct": 50.7,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 9.8,
      "ev_return_pct": -9.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 52.5,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.68
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TWLO260918C00220000/TWLO260918C00260000",
      "strike": 220.0,
      "short_strike": 260.0,
      "label": "$220/$260C",
      "width": 40.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 70.2,
      "bid": 19.9,
      "ask": 23.5,
      "mid": 21.7,
      "oi": 276,
      "volume": 3,
      "iv": 0.4922,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3859,
      "cost_per_contract": 2350.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -1.27,
      "return_if_target_pct": 63.9,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 5.0,
      "ev_return_pct": -6.0,
      "p_profit_pct": 50.8,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.64
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 49 liquid call(s)",
     "10 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "70 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +13.8% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   },
   {
    "ticker": "U",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 44.53,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-10",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-11-20",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-02-19",
     "2027-05-21"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 15.65,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $43/$45)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 72,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 70,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 505,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 538,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 70 of 72 liquid calls fit, plus 505 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "U260918C00045000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 45.0,
      "label": "$45C",
      "bid": 2.93,
      "ask": 3.2,
      "mid": 3.0650000000000004,
      "oi": 4612,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 207,
      "iv": 0.5598,
      "delta": 0.5189,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 320.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 8.24,
      "return_if_target_pct": 106.9,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -60.2,
      "ev_return_pct": 20.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.83
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "U260918C00043000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 43.0,
      "label": "$43C",
      "bid": 3.65,
      "ask": 4.15,
      "mid": 3.9000000000000004,
      "oi": 103,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 37,
      "iv": 0.5399,
      "delta": 0.6187,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 415.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 5.88,
      "return_if_target_pct": 106.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -44.2,
      "ev_return_pct": 17.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.77
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "U260918C00045000/U260918C00050000",
      "strike": 45.0,
      "short_strike": 50.0,
      "label": "$45/$50C",
      "width": 5.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 152.5,
      "bid": 1.45,
      "ask": 1.98,
      "mid": 1.715,
      "oi": 2080,
      "volume": 207,
      "iv": 0.5598,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2183,
      "cost_per_contract": 198.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 5.5,
      "return_if_target_pct": 105.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -43.2,
      "ev_return_pct": -5.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.71
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "U260918C00050000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 50.0,
      "label": "$50C",
      "bid": 1.22,
      "ask": 1.48,
      "mid": 1.35,
      "oi": 2080,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 503,
      "iv": 0.5611,
      "delta": 0.3006,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 148.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 15.61,
      "return_if_target_pct": 73.1,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -90.0,
      "ev_return_pct": 33.9,
      "p_profit_pct": 28.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.67
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "U260918C00045000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 45.0,
      "label": "$45C",
      "bid": 2.93,
      "ask": 3.2,
      "mid": 3.0650000000000004,
      "oi": 4612,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 207,
      "iv": 0.5598,
      "delta": 0.5189,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 320.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 8.24,
      "return_if_target_pct": 106.9,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -60.2,
      "ev_return_pct": 20.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.83
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "U260918C00043000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 43.0,
      "label": "$43C",
      "bid": 3.65,
      "ask": 4.15,
      "mid": 3.9000000000000004,
      "oi": 103,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 37,
      "iv": 0.5399,
      "delta": 0.6187,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 415.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 5.88,
      "return_if_target_pct": 106.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -44.2,
      "ev_return_pct": 17.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.77
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "U260918C00039000/U260918C00045000",
      "strike": 39.0,
      "short_strike": 45.0,
      "label": "$39/$45C",
      "width": 6.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 600.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 53.1,
      "bid": 2.85,
      "ask": 3.92,
      "mid": 3.385,
      "oi": 161,
      "volume": 1,
      "iv": 0.5142,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2793,
      "cost_per_contract": 392.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -3.62,
      "return_if_target_pct": 50.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 10.7,
      "ev_return_pct": -7.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 54.1,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.25
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "U260918C00039000/U260918C00046000",
      "strike": 39.0,
      "short_strike": 46.0,
      "label": "$39/$46C",
      "width": 7.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 700.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 59.1,
      "bid": 3.07,
      "ask": 4.4,
      "mid": 3.735,
      "oi": 161,
      "volume": 1,
      "iv": 0.5142,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3278,
      "cost_per_contract": 440.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -2.54,
      "return_if_target_pct": 54.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 6.2,
      "ev_return_pct": -8.1,
      "p_profit_pct": 52.5,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.5
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "U260918C00040000/U260918C00045000",
      "strike": 40.0,
      "short_strike": 45.0,
      "label": "$40/$45C",
      "width": 5.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 55.3,
      "bid": 2.15,
      "ask": 3.22,
      "mid": 2.685,
      "oi": 1909,
      "volume": 55,
      "iv": 0.5285,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2399,
      "cost_per_contract": 322.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -2.94,
      "return_if_target_pct": 52.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 6.1,
      "ev_return_pct": -9.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 52.5,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.36
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 2 liquid call(s)",
     "31 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "538 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +15.6% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   },
   {
    "ticker": "SMCI",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 37.61,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-10",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-11-20",
     "2026-12-18",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-02-19",
     "2027-03-19"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 21.44,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $37/$38)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 239,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 229,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 5863,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 5691,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 229 of 239 liquid calls fit, plus 5863 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SMCI260918C00040000/SMCI260918C00050000",
      "strike": 40.0,
      "short_strike": 50.0,
      "label": "$40/$50C",
      "width": 10.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 1000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 378.5,
      "bid": 1.77,
      "ask": 2.09,
      "mid": 1.93,
      "oi": 10173,
      "volume": 4476,
      "iv": 0.7633,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2903,
      "cost_per_contract": 209.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 11.91,
      "return_if_target_pct": 150.1,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -61.7,
      "ev_return_pct": -0.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 33.1,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 7.0
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SMCI260918C00042000/SMCI260918C00050000",
      "strike": 42.0,
      "short_strike": 50.0,
      "label": "$42/$50C",
      "width": 8.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 800.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 447.9,
      "bid": 1.25,
      "ask": 1.46,
      "mid": 1.355,
      "oi": 1345,
      "volume": 1108,
      "iv": 0.7798,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2162,
      "cost_per_contract": 146.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 15.55,
      "return_if_target_pct": 148.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -72.3,
      "ev_return_pct": -2.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 31.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.93
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SMCI260918C00038000/SMCI260918C00050000",
      "strike": 38.0,
      "short_strike": 50.0,
      "label": "$38/$50C",
      "width": 12.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 1200.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 322.5,
      "bid": 2.57,
      "ask": 2.84,
      "mid": 2.705,
      "oi": 3981,
      "volume": 871,
      "iv": 0.7595,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3709,
      "cost_per_contract": 284.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 8.59,
      "return_if_target_pct": 148.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -47.0,
      "ev_return_pct": 2.9,
      "p_profit_pct": 37.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.9
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SMCI260918C00031000/SMCI260918C00044000",
      "strike": 31.0,
      "short_strike": 44.0,
      "label": "$31/$44C",
      "width": 13.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 1300.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 115.2,
      "bid": 5.67,
      "ask": 6.04,
      "mid": 5.855,
      "oi": 641,
      "volume": 263,
      "iv": 0.7141,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.5237,
      "cost_per_contract": 604.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -1.52,
      "return_if_target_pct": 92.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 7.4,
      "ev_return_pct": 7.5,
      "p_profit_pct": 52.5,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.33
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SMCI260918C00031000/SMCI260918C00042000",
      "strike": 31.0,
      "short_strike": 42.0,
      "label": "$31/$42C",
      "width": 11.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 1100.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 97.5,
      "bid": 5.23,
      "ask": 5.57,
      "mid": 5.4,
      "oi": 1345,
      "volume": 922,
      "iv": 0.7141,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4564,
      "cost_per_contract": 557.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -2.77,
      "return_if_target_pct": 85.1,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 12.5,
      "ev_return_pct": 7.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 55.8,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.97
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SMCI260918C00031000/SMCI260918C00046000",
      "strike": 31.0,
      "short_strike": 46.0,
      "label": "$31/$46C",
      "width": 15.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 1500.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 134.0,
      "bid": 6.01,
      "ask": 6.41,
      "mid": 6.21,
      "oi": 1079,
      "volume": 308,
      "iv": 0.7141,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.5827,
      "cost_per_contract": 641.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -0.53,
      "return_if_target_pct": 97.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 2.8,
      "ev_return_pct": 7.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 50.8,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.55
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SMCI260918C00031000/SMCI260918C00039000",
      "strike": 31.0,
      "short_strike": 39.0,
      "label": "$31/$39C",
      "width": 8.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 800.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 72.0,
      "bid": 4.2,
      "ask": 4.65,
      "mid": 4.425,
      "oi": 1570,
      "volume": 922,
      "iv": 0.7141,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3428,
      "cost_per_contract": 465.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -5.21,
      "return_if_target_pct": 68.1,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 19.2,
      "ev_return_pct": 5.6,
      "p_profit_pct": 59.1,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.18
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SMCI260918C00030000/SMCI260918C00041000",
      "strike": 30.0,
      "short_strike": 41.0,
      "label": "$30/$41C",
      "width": 11.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 1100.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 78.9,
      "bid": 5.69,
      "ask": 6.15,
      "mid": 5.92,
      "oi": 3909,
      "volume": 1672,
      "iv": 0.7178,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.4512,
      "cost_per_contract": 615.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -3.88,
      "return_if_target_pct": 71.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 15.0,
      "ev_return_pct": 5.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 57.4,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.33
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "SMCI260918C00031000/SMCI260918C00040000",
      "strike": 31.0,
      "short_strike": 40.0,
      "label": "$31/$40C",
      "width": 9.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 900.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 78.2,
      "bid": 4.6,
      "ask": 5.05,
      "mid": 4.825,
      "oi": 2325,
      "volume": 922,
      "iv": 0.7141,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3823,
      "cost_per_contract": 505.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -4.15,
      "return_if_target_pct": 72.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 16.2,
      "ev_return_pct": 5.3,
      "p_profit_pct": 57.4,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.38
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 10 liquid call(s)",
     "889 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "5691 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +21.4% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   },
   {
    "ticker": "TSEM",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 260.31,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-10",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-10-16",
     "2027-01-15"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 23.53,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $250/$270)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 38,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 5,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 78,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 73,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 5 of 38 liquid calls fit, plus 78 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TSEM260918C00270000/TSEM260918C00380000",
      "strike": 270.0,
      "short_strike": 380.0,
      "label": "$270/$380C",
      "width": 110.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 11000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 371.1,
      "bid": 16.2,
      "ask": 23.35,
      "mid": 19.775,
      "oi": 136,
      "volume": 0,
      "iv": 0.8145,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.412,
      "cost_per_contract": 2335.0,
      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 12.69,
      "return_if_target_pct": 118.0,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -63.4,
      "ev_return_pct": -16.0,
      "p_profit_pct": 30.1,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 5.02
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TSEM260918C00270000/TSEM260918C00310000",
      "strike": 270.0,
      "short_strike": 310.0,
      "label": "$270/$310C",
      "width": 40.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 175.9,
      "bid": 7.8,
      "ask": 14.5,
      "mid": 11.15,
      "oi": 272,
      "volume": 0,
      "iv": 0.8145,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2043,
      "cost_per_contract": 1450.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 9.29,
      "return_if_target_pct": 110.5,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -50.2,
      "ev_return_pct": -16.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 34.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.7
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "TSEM260918C00270000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 270.0,
      "label": "$270C",
      "bid": 21.3,
      "ask": 25.3,
      "mid": 23.3,
      "oi": 272,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 31,
      "iv": 0.8145,
      "delta": 0.5047,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 2530.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 13.44,
      "return_if_target_pct": 109.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -66.1,
      "ev_return_pct": -15.9,
      "p_profit_pct": 28.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.64
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TSEM260918C00250000/TSEM260918C00310000",
      "strike": 250.0,
      "short_strike": 310.0,
      "label": "$250/$310C",
      "width": 60.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 138.1,
      "bid": 18.2,
      "ask": 25.2,
      "mid": 21.7,
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      "delta": 0.3194,
      "cost_per_contract": 2520.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 5.72,
      "return_if_target_pct": 97.1,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -30.6,
      "ev_return_pct": -11.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.13
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TSEM260918C00240000/TSEM260918C00300000",
      "strike": 240.0,
      "short_strike": 300.0,
      "label": "$240/$300C",
      "width": 60.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 102.7,
      "bid": 18.6,
      "ask": 29.6,
      "mid": 24.1,
      "oi": 240,
      "volume": 1,
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      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3303,
      "cost_per_contract": 2960.0,
      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 3.57,
      "return_if_target_pct": 79.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -22.6,
      "ev_return_pct": -13.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.37
     },
     {
      "kind": "call",
      "symbol": "TSEM260918C00270000",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "strike": 270.0,
      "label": "$270C",
      "bid": 21.3,
      "ask": 25.3,
      "mid": 23.3,
      "oi": 272,
      "wide": false,
      "volume": 31,
      "iv": 0.8145,
      "delta": 0.5047,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "cost_per_contract": 2530.0,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 13.44,
      "return_if_target_pct": 109.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -66.1,
      "ev_return_pct": -15.9,
      "p_profit_pct": 28.7,
      "max_loss": "100% of premium",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.64
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TSEM260918C00240000/TSEM260918C00300000",
      "strike": 240.0,
      "short_strike": 300.0,
      "label": "$240/$300C",
      "width": 60.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 102.7,
      "bid": 18.6,
      "ask": 29.6,
      "mid": 24.1,
      "oi": 240,
      "volume": 1,
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      "delta": 0.3303,
      "cost_per_contract": 2960.0,
      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 3.57,
      "return_if_target_pct": 79.2,
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      "ev_return_pct": -13.2,
      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.37
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TSEM260918C00250000/TSEM260918C00310000",
      "strike": 250.0,
      "short_strike": 310.0,
      "label": "$250/$310C",
      "width": 60.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 138.1,
      "bid": 18.2,
      "ask": 25.2,
      "mid": 21.7,
      "oi": 460,
      "volume": 0,
      "iv": 0.8561,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3194,
      "cost_per_contract": 2520.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 5.72,
      "return_if_target_pct": 97.1,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -30.6,
      "ev_return_pct": -11.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 4.13
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "TSEM260918C00250000/TSEM260918C00300000",
      "strike": 250.0,
      "short_strike": 300.0,
      "label": "$250/$300C",
      "width": 50.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 5000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 106.6,
      "bid": 14.4,
      "ask": 24.2,
      "mid": 19.3,
      "oi": 460,
      "volume": 6,
      "iv": 0.8561,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2735,
      "cost_per_contract": 2420.0,
      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 5.34,
      "return_if_target_pct": 78.8,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -31.6,
      "ev_return_pct": -17.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.35
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 33 liquid call(s); every single call that fits is out-of-the-money, which inflates if-tgt and EV \u2014 read them beside P(win)",
     "32 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "73 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +23.5% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   },
   {
    "ticker": "CBRS",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 262.06,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-10",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-10-16",
     "2026-11-20",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-03-19",
     "2027-06-17"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 32.11,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $260/$270)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 65,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 5,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 144,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 139,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 5 of 65 liquid calls fit, plus 144 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "CBRS260918C00250000/CBRS260918C00330000",
      "strike": 250.0,
      "short_strike": 330.0,
      "label": "$250/$330C",
      "width": 80.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 8000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 176.8,
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      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 6.43,
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      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.76
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     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "CBRS260918C00250000/CBRS260918C00320000",
      "strike": 250.0,
      "short_strike": 320.0,
      "label": "$250/$320C",
      "width": 70.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 7000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 164.2,
      "bid": 19.0,
      "ask": 26.5,
      "mid": 22.75,
      "oi": 503,
      "volume": 135,
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      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2639,
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      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 5.51,
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      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.75
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     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "CBRS260918C00260000/CBRS260918C00330000",
      "strike": 260.0,
      "short_strike": 330.0,
      "label": "$260/$330C",
      "width": 70.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 7000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 178.9,
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      "ask": 25.1,
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      "iv": 1.1402,
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      "delta": 0.2507,
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      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 8.79,
      "return_if_target_pct": 116.1,
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      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.62
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    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
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      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "CBRS260918C00250000/CBRS260918C00320000",
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      "return_if_target_pct": 120.3,
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      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.75
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     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "CBRS260918C00250000/CBRS260918C00300000",
      "strike": 250.0,
      "short_strike": 300.0,
      "label": "$250/$300C",
      "width": 50.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 5000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 129.4,
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      "delta": 0.1994,
      "cost_per_contract": 2180.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 3.72,
      "return_if_target_pct": 103.4,
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      "p_profit_pct": 42.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
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     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "CBRS260918C00250000/CBRS260918C00330000",
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      "short_strike": 330.0,
      "label": "$250/$330C",
      "width": 80.0,
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      "cost_per_contract": 2890.0,
      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 6.43,
      "return_if_target_pct": 120.6,
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      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.76
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    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "CBRS260918C00250000/CBRS260918C00300000",
      "strike": 250.0,
      "short_strike": 300.0,
      "label": "$250/$300C",
      "width": 50.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 5000.0,
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      "delta": 0.1994,
      "cost_per_contract": 2180.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 3.72,
      "return_if_target_pct": 103.4,
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      "p_profit_pct": 42.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.22
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     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "CBRS260918C00250000/CBRS260918C00320000",
      "strike": 250.0,
      "short_strike": 320.0,
      "label": "$250/$320C",
      "width": 70.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 7000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 164.2,
      "bid": 19.0,
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      "mid": 22.75,
      "oi": 503,
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      "iv": 1.1169,
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      "delta": 0.2639,
      "cost_per_contract": 2650.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 5.51,
      "return_if_target_pct": 120.3,
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      "p_profit_pct": 40.9,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.75
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     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "CBRS260918C00250000/CBRS260918C00330000",
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      "short_strike": 330.0,
      "label": "$250/$330C",
      "width": 80.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 8000.0,
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      "ask": 28.9,
      "mid": 23.7,
      "oi": 307,
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      "iv": 1.1169,
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      "delta": 0.294,
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      "short_leg_wide": true,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 6.43,
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      "p_profit_pct": 39.3,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.76
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    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 60 liquid call(s); every single call that fits is out-of-the-money, which inflates if-tgt and EV \u2014 read them beside P(win)",
     "34 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "139 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +32.1% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   },
   {
    "ticker": "ONTO",
    "sleeve": "momentum",
    "underlying": 337.35,
    "horizon_date": "2026-09-10",
    "sessions": 21,
    "expirations_used": [
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-12-18",
     "2027-01-15",
     "2027-03-19"
    ],
    "target_move_pct": 20.89,
    "target_source": "implied 1-sigma expected move (ATM IV interpolated $330/$340)",
    "distribution": "lognormal fit: 3y gated-momentum cell (mean +1.8%, p95 +35.8%, n=6410)",
    "n_contracts_liquid": 26,
    "n_contracts_affordable": 7,
    "n_spreads_affordable": 77,
    "min_leverage": 3.0,
    "n_dominated": 37,
    "max_ask": 30.0,
    "budget_per_contract": 3000.0,
    "budget_note": "premium <= $30.00/share ($3,000 per contract) \u2014 7 of 26 liquid calls fit, plus 77 debit spread(s)",
    "top_by_return_if_target": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "ONTO260918C00350000/ONTO260918C00420000",
      "strike": 350.0,
      "short_strike": 420.0,
      "label": "$350/$420C",
      "width": 70.0,
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      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
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     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "ONTO260918C00350000/ONTO260918C00430000",
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      "p_profit_pct": 36.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
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     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "ONTO260918C00360000/ONTO260918C00420000",
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      "short_strike": 420.0,
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      "delta": 0.2289,
      "cost_per_contract": 1610.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
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      "return_if_target_pct": 134.5,
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      "ev_return_pct": -7.1,
      "p_profit_pct": 34.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.44
     }
    ],
    "top_by_empirical_ev": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "ONTO260918C00330000/ONTO260918C00420000",
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      "short_strike": 420.0,
      "label": "$330/$420C",
      "width": 90.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 9000.0,
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      "short_leg_wide": false,
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      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 6.13
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "ONTO260918C00330000/ONTO260918C00390000",
      "strike": 330.0,
      "short_strike": 390.0,
      "label": "$330/$390C",
      "width": 60.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 6000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 160.9,
      "bid": 19.0,
      "ask": 23.0,
      "mid": 21.0,
      "oi": 191,
      "volume": 5,
      "iv": 0.7425,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.271,
      "cost_per_contract": 2300.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 4.64,
      "return_if_target_pct": 118.7,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -26.5,
      "ev_return_pct": -1.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 42.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 5.68
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "ONTO260918C00330000/ONTO260918C00400000",
      "strike": 330.0,
      "short_strike": 400.0,
      "label": "$330/$400C",
      "width": 70.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 7000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 176.7,
      "bid": 21.1,
      "ask": 25.3,
      "mid": 23.2,
      "oi": 191,
      "volume": 5,
      "iv": 0.7425,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.3079,
      "cost_per_contract": 2530.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": 5.32,
      "return_if_target_pct": 122.2,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -30.3,
      "ev_return_pct": -1.7,
      "p_profit_pct": 42.6,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 5.85
     }
    ],
    "top_by_p_profit": [
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "ONTO260918C00300000/ONTO260918C00350000",
      "strike": 300.0,
      "short_strike": 350.0,
      "label": "$300/$350C",
      "width": 50.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 5000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 73.0,
      "bid": 23.8,
      "ask": 28.9,
      "mid": 26.35,
      "oi": 115,
      "volume": 1,
      "iv": 0.7565,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2425,
      "cost_per_contract": 2890.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -2.5,
      "return_if_target_pct": 67.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": 5.6,
      "ev_return_pct": -2.8,
      "p_profit_pct": 52.5,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.24
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "ONTO260918C00310000/ONTO260918C00360000",
      "strike": 310.0,
      "short_strike": 360.0,
      "label": "$310/$360C",
      "width": 50.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 5000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 87.3,
      "bid": 21.1,
      "ask": 26.7,
      "mid": 23.9,
      "oi": 189,
      "volume": 3,
      "iv": 0.7552,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.2421,
      "cost_per_contract": 2670.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -0.19,
      "return_if_target_pct": 77.4,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -4.2,
      "ev_return_pct": -5.0,
      "p_profit_pct": 49.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.71
     },
     {
      "kind": "call_spread",
      "expiry": "2026-09-18",
      "symbol": "ONTO260918C00310000/ONTO260918C00350000",
      "strike": 310.0,
      "short_strike": 350.0,
      "label": "$310/$350C",
      "width": 40.0,
      "max_value_per_contract": 4000.0,
      "max_profit_pct": 76.2,
      "bid": 17.5,
      "ask": 22.7,
      "mid": 20.1,
      "oi": 115,
      "volume": 3,
      "iv": 0.7552,
      "contract_size": 100.0,
      "delta": 0.1953,
      "cost_per_contract": 2270.0,
      "short_leg_wide": false,
      "breakeven_move_pct": -1.38,
      "return_if_target_pct": 69.6,
      "return_if_flat_pct": -0.9,
      "ev_return_pct": -5.9,
      "p_profit_pct": 49.2,
      "max_loss": "100% of the net debit",
      "leverage_on_target": 3.33
     }
    ],
    "caveats": [
     "IV changes not modeled (post-spike crush can eat a correct call)",
     "spreads are priced at the ask/bid of BOTH legs (what crossing costs); they need a spread-approved account and both legs must be closed \u2014 the short leg carries assignment risk if it goes ITM",
     "premium cap $30.00 ($3,000/contract) excluded 19 liquid call(s); every single call that fits is out-of-the-money, which inflates if-tgt and EV \u2014 read them beside P(win)",
     "7 spread(s) sell a leg whose own market is wide (quotes go stale after the close). Entry is modelled at its BID so the debit is not flattered, but buying that leg back early could cost more than the model assumes",
     "37 structure(s) hidden for returning under 3x the +20.9% target move \u2014 at that leverage the shares do the job with no expiry and no total loss",
     "EV assumes the future resembles the backtest cell; treat huge EV on OTM strikes with suspicion",
     "cost basis = ask; options can expire worthless",
     "not investment advice"
    ]
   }
  ]
 }
}