mntmdaily.report deterministic · no LLM in the data path
Run #15 not received
Expected by ~6:10 PM ET Fri Aug 14 · . Below is Run #14 · Thu Aug 13 — the previous run.
Last good run: /runs/2026-08-13 →
Markets are closed todayCLOSED
Run #14 (Thu Aug 13) remains current — this page is correct, not stale. Next run: Fri Aug 14, ~6:10 PM ET.
RUN #14 Thu Aug 13 closeupdated 6:10 PM ET
6:10 PM ET · 3:10 PM PT · next: Fri Aug 14 ~6:10 PM ETyesterday #13 ✓
OPENMarkets are open — this reflects Thu’s close. Tonight’s run ~6:10 PM ET.

Four names reach the top 10, four drop out of it. TME joins and BRK-B and FISV leave the value screen.

Generated from run data — deterministic template · explanatory only
What changed · vs run #13
VALUE
MOVERS
BASKETS
Tonight’s actions · 15-year-calibrated rules
LONG 10
TEAM · P · NBIS · SMCI · TWLO · MDB · ONTO · CRWV · RBRK · SPCX
21-session hold from qualification · 3y: 50.8% win, +1.78% mean, +0.26% median — the edge lives in the right tail
LONG-WATCH 2
KEP · TME
watch list, never a buy signal · 3y: 57% win, +1.7% avg; weakest in the 2025-26 tape
Market context
SPY 777.88, above its 21-day EMA · universe 871 names ≥$10B — shown for reference; the backtest found this non-predictive.

A mechanical stock screen that runs every market evening. Fixed rules — no discretion, no forecasts, no LLM touching the data — produce two lists: cheap stocks near their lows (a watch list, never a buy signal) and the week’s fastest movers, held only if they trade above their own 200-day average. Every run is numbered, archived byte-identical, and calibrated against a 15-year backtest with its assumptions in the open.

Research instrument, not investment advice. Paper records only — nothing is traded, nothing is for sale.
Deterministic screen · no LLM in the data path · Run #14 of an unbroken archive since Jul 27, 2026
mechanical screener v1 (FMP + EODHD) · posted 6:10:52 PM ET
Value screen
≤10% above 52-wk low · trailing P/E 0–10 · 2 names
TickerPrice P/E> 52-wk low vs 200-SMAAction
Korea Electric Power Corporation
Utilities · $14.8B mkt cap · risk: medium · qualified 12 of 14 runs
hi 23.26lo 11.32···· 200-day SMA11.51
1-yr daily closes, split/div-adjusted · dashed = 200-day SMA · gridlines = 52-wk range
Price11.51
P/E2.44
RSI 1440
5-day−7.6%
ROC 21d+0.4%
vs 200-SMA−26.9%
off 52-wk high−50.5%
Avg vol 3m1.2M
RULE FIRED
Within 10% of 52-week low · Trailing P/E <= 10 · Universe & liquidity filters passed
long-watch — 3y: 57% win, +1.7% avg per 21 sessions; weakest in 2025-26 tape
Deep value near lows; bounced more often than not over three years. The 2025-26 short-the-knife pattern did not hold over the full sample.
outlook · rule-generated text, explanatory only
Tencent Music Entertainment Group
Communication Services · $13.3B mkt cap · risk: medium · 1st appearance
hi 25.67lo 8.16···· 200-day SMA8.66
1-yr daily closes, split/div-adjusted · dashed = 200-day SMA · gridlines = 52-wk range
Price8.66
P/E9.86
RSI 1442
5-day−9.7%
ROC 21d−2.3%
vs 200-SMA−33.1%
off 52-wk high−67.2%
Avg vol 3m9.8M
RULE FIRED
Within 10% of 52-week low · Trailing P/E <= 10 · Universe & liquidity filters passed
long-watch — 3y: 57% win, +1.7% avg per 21 sessions; weakest in 2025-26 tape
Deep value near lows; bounced more often than not over three years. The 2025-26 short-the-knife pattern did not hold over the full sample.
outlook · rule-generated text, explanatory only
5-day movers
top 10 of 871 by 5-day return · LONG requires close above own 200-day SMA
Ticker5-day RSIvs 200-SMA Action
Atlassian Corporation
Technology · $43.6B mkt cap · risk: high · qualified 6 of 14 runs
hi 182.36lo 57.15···· 200-day SMA165.98
1-yr daily closes, split/div-adjusted · dashed = 200-day SMA · gridlines = 52-wk range
Price165.98
P/E
RSI 1483
5-day+50.7%
ROC 21d+80.9%
vs 200-SMA+53.9%
off 52-wk high−9.0%
Avg vol 3m5.1M
RULE FIRED
Top 5-day performer · Universe & liquidity filters passed
long, 21-day hold
Trend continuation setup.
outlook · rule-generated text, explanatory only
Everpure, Inc.
Industrials · $39.0B mkt cap · risk: high · qualified 3 of 14 runs
hi 117.35lo 55.53···· 200-day SMA117.35
1-yr daily closes, split/div-adjusted · dashed = 200-day SMA · gridlines = 52-wk range
Price117.35
P/E
RSI 1484
5-day+34.5%
ROC 21d+65.9%
vs 200-SMA+57.6%
off 52-wk highat high
Avg vol 3m3.3M
RULE FIRED
Top 5-day performer · Universe & liquidity filters passed
long, 21-day hold
Trend continuation setup. At 52-week high after a >20% five-day spike (no historical edge either way).
outlook · rule-generated text, explanatory only
Nebius Group N.V.
Technology · $61.2B mkt cap · risk: high · qualified 3 of 14 runs
hi 286.69lo 64.06···· 200-day SMA255.04
1-yr daily closes, split/div-adjusted · dashed = 200-day SMA · gridlines = 52-wk range
Price255.04
P/E
RSI 1461
5-day+34.3%
ROC 21d+27.8%
vs 200-SMA+75.0%
off 52-wk high−11.0%
Avg vol 3m20.9M
RULE FIRED
Top 5-day performer · Universe & liquidity filters passed
long, 21-day hold
Trend continuation setup.
outlook · rule-generated text, explanatory only
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
Technology · $25.3B mkt cap · risk: high · qualified 3 of 14 runs
hi 58.68lo 20.53···· 200-day SMA39.16
1-yr daily closes, split/div-adjusted · dashed = 200-day SMA · gridlines = 52-wk range
Price39.16
P/E
RSI 1470
5-day+33.3%
ROC 21d+45.6%
vs 200-SMA+22.9%
off 52-wk high−33.3%
Avg vol 3m57.2M
RULE FIRED
Top 5-day performer · Universe & liquidity filters passed
long, 21-day hold
Trend continuation setup.
outlook · rule-generated text, explanatory only
Twilio Inc.
Technology · $37.9B mkt cap · risk: high · qualified 4 of 14 runs
hi 255.95lo 100.09···· 200-day SMA249.42
1-yr daily closes, split/div-adjusted · dashed = 200-day SMA · gridlines = 52-wk range
Price249.42
P/E
RSI 1471
5-day+29.1%
ROC 21d+17.9%
vs 200-SMA+61.1%
off 52-wk high−2.5%
Avg vol 3m2.5M
RULE FIRED
Top 5-day performer · Universe & liquidity filters passed
long, 21-day hold
Trend continuation setup.
outlook · rule-generated text, explanatory only
MongoDB, Inc.
Technology · $38.0B mkt cap · risk: high · 1st appearance
hi 472.29lo 204.37···· 200-day SMA472.29
1-yr daily closes, split/div-adjusted · dashed = 200-day SMA · gridlines = 52-wk range
Price472.29
P/E
RSI 1480
5-day+27.6%
ROC 21d+41.8%
vs 200-SMA+40.1%
off 52-wk highat high
Avg vol 3m2.0M
RULE FIRED
Top 5-day performer · Universe & liquidity filters passed
long, 21-day hold
Trend continuation setup. At 52-week high after a >20% five-day spike (no historical edge either way).
outlook · rule-generated text, explanatory only
Onto Innovation Inc.
Technology · $16.8B mkt cap · risk: high · qualified 2 of 14 runs
hi 378.45lo 101.95···· 200-day SMA337.82
1-yr daily closes, split/div-adjusted · dashed = 200-day SMA · gridlines = 52-wk range
Price337.82
P/E
RSI 1461
5-day+25.7%
ROC 21d+10.9%
vs 200-SMA+47.8%
off 52-wk high−10.7%
Avg vol 3m1.3M
RULE FIRED
Top 5-day performer · Universe & liquidity filters passed
long, 21-day hold
Trend continuation setup.
outlook · rule-generated text, explanatory only
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Technology · $58.0B mkt cap · risk: high · qualified 4 of 14 runs
hi 143.08lo 60.82···· 200-day SMA106.29
1-yr daily closes, split/div-adjusted · dashed = 200-day SMA · gridlines = 52-wk range
Price106.29
P/E
RSI 1464
5-day+24.6%
ROC 21d+37.8%
vs 200-SMA+14.2%
off 52-wk high−25.7%
Avg vol 3m29.8M
RULE FIRED
Top 5-day performer · Universe & liquidity filters passed
long, 21-day hold
Trend continuation setup.
outlook · rule-generated text, explanatory only
Rubrik, Inc.
Technology · $21.6B mkt cap · risk: high · qualified 2 of 14 runs
hi 105.09lo 43.81···· 200-day SMA105.09
1-yr daily closes, split/div-adjusted · dashed = 200-day SMA · gridlines = 52-wk range
Price105.09
P/E
RSI 1478
5-day+24.2%
ROC 21d+30.7%
vs 200-SMA+56.7%
off 52-wk highat high
Avg vol 3m3.7M
RULE FIRED
Top 5-day performer · Universe & liquidity filters passed
long, 21-day hold
Trend continuation setup. At 52-week high after a >20% five-day spike (no historical edge either way).
outlook · rule-generated text, explanatory only
Space Exploration Technologies Corp.
Industrials · $1.8T mkt cap · risk: high · qualified 2 of 14 runs
hi 211.39lo 108.27141.29
1-yr daily closes, split/div-adjusted · gridlines = 52-wk range
Price141.29
P/E
RSI 1461
5-day+22.9%
ROC 21d+4.5%
vs 200-SMAn/a
off 52-wk high−33.2%
Avg vol 3m114.7M
RULE FIRED
Top 5-day performer · Universe & liquidity filters passed
long, 21-day hold
Trend continuation setup.
outlook · rule-generated text, explanatory only
Options lens
experimental · best structure per momentum long · under $3,000/contract
The trade

BUY 1  TEAM  Sep 18, 2026  $165 call

SELL 1  TEAM  Sep 18, 2026  $200 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $11.00 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$1,100 leaves your account ($11.00 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if TEAM finishes at or below $165.

Breakeven at expiry: $176.00, a +6.0% move from today's $165.98.

Best case: TEAM at or above $200 makes the spread worth $3,500, a $2,400 profit (+218%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $200 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if TEAM sits between $165 and $200 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  TEAM  Sep 18, 2026  $165 call

How to enter it

A single long call. Limit price: $14.00 or better.

What it costs and risks

$1,400 leaves your account ($14.00 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if TEAM finishes at or below $165.

Breakeven at expiry: $179.00, a +7.8% move from today's $165.98.

Upside is uncapped — there is no short leg limiting it.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  TEAM  Sep 18, 2026  $140 call

SELL 1  TEAM  Sep 18, 2026  $175 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $22.20 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$2,220 leaves your account ($22.20 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if TEAM finishes at or below $140.

Breakeven at expiry: $162.20, a -2.3% move from today's $165.98.

Best case: TEAM at or above $175 makes the spread worth $3,500, a $1,280 profit (+58%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $175 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if TEAM sits between $140 and $175 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  P  Sep 18, 2026  $125 call

SELL 1  P  Sep 18, 2026  $150 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $6.25 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$625 leaves your account ($6.25 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if P finishes at or below $125.

Breakeven at expiry: $131.25, a +11.8% move from today's $117.35.

Best case: P at or above $150 makes the spread worth $2,500, a $1,875 profit (+300%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $150 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if P sits between $125 and $150 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  P  Sep 18, 2026  $90 call

SELL 1  P  Sep 18, 2026  $150 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $27.65 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$2,765 leaves your account ($27.65 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if P finishes at or below $90.

Breakeven at expiry: $117.65, a +0.3% move from today's $117.35.

Best case: P at or above $150 makes the spread worth $6,000, a $3,235 profit (+117%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $150 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if P sits between $90 and $150 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  NBIS  Sep 18, 2026  $270 call

SELL 1  NBIS  Sep 18, 2026  $350 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $18.50 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$1,850 leaves your account ($18.50 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if NBIS finishes at or below $270.

Breakeven at expiry: $288.50, a +13.1% move from today's $255.04.

Best case: NBIS at or above $350 makes the spread worth $8,000, a $6,150 profit (+332%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $350 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if NBIS sits between $270 and $350 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  NBIS  Sep 18, 2026  $250 call

SELL 1  NBIS  Sep 18, 2026  $290 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $15.15 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$1,515 leaves your account ($15.15 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if NBIS finishes at or below $250.

Breakeven at expiry: $265.15, a +4.0% move from today's $255.04.

Best case: NBIS at or above $290 makes the spread worth $4,000, a $2,485 profit (+164%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $290 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if NBIS sits between $250 and $290 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  NBIS  Sep 18, 2026  $230 call

SELL 1  NBIS  Sep 18, 2026  $270 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $20.45 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$2,045 leaves your account ($20.45 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if NBIS finishes at or below $230.

Breakeven at expiry: $250.45, a -1.8% move from today's $255.04.

Best case: NBIS at or above $270 makes the spread worth $4,000, a $1,955 profit (+96%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $270 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if NBIS sits between $230 and $270 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  SMCI  Sep 18, 2026  $43 call

SELL 1  SMCI  Sep 18, 2026  $50 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $1.53 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$153 leaves your account ($1.53 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if SMCI finishes at or below $43.

Breakeven at expiry: $44.53, a +13.7% move from today's $39.16.

Best case: SMCI at or above $50 makes the spread worth $700, a $547 profit (+358%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $50 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if SMCI sits between $43 and $50 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  SMCI  Sep 18, 2026  $32 call

SELL 1  SMCI  Sep 18, 2026  $45 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $6.30 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$630 leaves your account ($6.30 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if SMCI finishes at or below $32.

Breakeven at expiry: $38.30, a -2.2% move from today's $39.16.

Best case: SMCI at or above $45 makes the spread worth $1,300, a $670 profit (+106%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $45 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if SMCI sits between $32 and $45 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  SMCI  Sep 18, 2026  $32 call

SELL 1  SMCI  Sep 18, 2026  $41 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $5.20 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$520 leaves your account ($5.20 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if SMCI finishes at or below $32.

Breakeven at expiry: $37.20, a -5.0% move from today's $39.16.

Best case: SMCI at or above $41 makes the spread worth $900, a $380 profit (+73%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $41 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if SMCI sits between $32 and $41 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  TWLO  Sep 18, 2026  $260 call

SELL 1  TWLO  Sep 18, 2026  $290 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $8.50 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$850 leaves your account ($8.50 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if TWLO finishes at or below $260.

Breakeven at expiry: $268.50, a +7.6% move from today's $249.42.

Best case: TWLO at or above $290 makes the spread worth $3,000, a $2,150 profit (+253%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $290 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if TWLO sits between $260 and $290 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  TWLO  Sep 18, 2026  $280 call

How to enter it

A single long call. Limit price: $6.10 or better.

What it costs and risks

$610 leaves your account ($6.10 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if TWLO finishes at or below $280.

Breakeven at expiry: $286.10, a +14.7% move from today's $249.42.

Upside is uncapped — there is no short leg limiting it.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  TWLO  Sep 18, 2026  $220 call

SELL 1  TWLO  Sep 18, 2026  $260 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $25.30 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$2,530 leaves your account ($25.30 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if TWLO finishes at or below $220.

Breakeven at expiry: $245.30, a -1.7% move from today's $249.42.

Best case: TWLO at or above $260 makes the spread worth $4,000, a $1,470 profit (+58%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $260 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if TWLO sits between $220 and $260 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  MDB  Sep 18, 2026  $520 call

SELL 1  MDB  Sep 18, 2026  $640 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $25.80 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$2,580 leaves your account ($25.80 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if MDB finishes at or below $520.

Breakeven at expiry: $545.80, a +15.6% move from today's $472.29.

Best case: MDB at or above $640 makes the spread worth $12,000, a $9,420 profit (+365%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $640 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if MDB sits between $520 and $640 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  MDB  Sep 18, 2026  $460 call

SELL 1  MDB  Sep 18, 2026  $520 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $29.60 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$2,960 leaves your account ($29.60 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if MDB finishes at or below $460.

Breakeven at expiry: $489.60, a +3.7% move from today's $472.29.

Best case: MDB at or above $520 makes the spread worth $6,000, a $3,040 profit (+103%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $520 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if MDB sits between $460 and $520 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  ONTO  Sep 18, 2026  $360 call

SELL 1  ONTO  Sep 18, 2026  $430 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $17.60 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$1,760 leaves your account ($17.60 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if ONTO finishes at or below $360.

Breakeven at expiry: $377.60, a +11.8% move from today's $337.82.

Best case: ONTO at or above $430 makes the spread worth $7,000, a $5,240 profit (+298%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $430 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if ONTO sits between $360 and $430 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  ONTO  Sep 18, 2026  $300 call

SELL 1  ONTO  Sep 18, 2026  $350 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $29.00 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$2,900 leaves your account ($29.00 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if ONTO finishes at or below $300.

Breakeven at expiry: $329.00, a -2.6% move from today's $337.82.

Best case: ONTO at or above $350 makes the spread worth $5,000, a $2,100 profit (+72%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $350 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if ONTO sits between $300 and $350 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  CRWV  Sep 18, 2026  $115 call

SELL 1  CRWV  Sep 18, 2026  $135 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $4.54 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$454 leaves your account ($4.54 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if CRWV finishes at or below $115.

Breakeven at expiry: $119.54, a +12.5% move from today's $106.29.

Best case: CRWV at or above $135 makes the spread worth $2,000, a $1,546 profit (+340%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $135 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if CRWV sits between $115 and $135 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  CRWV  Sep 18, 2026  $80 call

SELL 1  CRWV  Sep 18, 2026  $120 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $22.65 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$2,265 leaves your account ($22.65 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if CRWV finishes at or below $80.

Breakeven at expiry: $102.65, a -3.4% move from today's $106.29.

Best case: CRWV at or above $120 makes the spread worth $4,000, a $1,735 profit (+77%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $120 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if CRWV sits between $80 and $120 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  RBRK  Sep 18, 2026  $100 call

How to enter it

A single long call. Limit price: $13.00 or better.

What it costs and risks

$1,300 leaves your account ($13.00 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if RBRK finishes at or below $100.

Breakeven at expiry: $113.00, a +7.5% move from today's $105.09.

Upside is uncapped — there is no short leg limiting it.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  RBRK  Jan 15, 2027  $105 call

How to enter it

A single long call. Limit price: $19.80 or better.

What it costs and risks

$1,980 leaves your account ($19.80 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if RBRK finishes at or below $105.

Breakeven at expiry: $124.80, a +18.8% move from today's $105.09.

Upside is uncapped — there is no short leg limiting it.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  RBRK  Sep 18, 2026  $90 call

SELL 1  RBRK  Sep 18, 2026  $120 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $15.50 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$1,550 leaves your account ($15.50 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if RBRK finishes at or below $90.

Breakeven at expiry: $105.50, a +0.4% move from today's $105.09.

Best case: RBRK at or above $120 makes the spread worth $3,000, a $1,450 profit (+94%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $120 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if RBRK sits between $90 and $120 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  SPCX  Sep 18, 2026  $155 call

SELL 1  SPCX  Sep 18, 2026  $170 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $3.35 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$335 leaves your account ($3.35 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if SPCX finishes at or below $155.

Breakeven at expiry: $158.35, a +12.1% move from today's $141.29.

Best case: SPCX at or above $170 makes the spread worth $1,500, a $1,165 profit (+348%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $170 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if SPCX sits between $155 and $170 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  SPCX  Sep 18, 2026  $150 call

SELL 1  SPCX  Sep 18, 2026  $200 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $7.50 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$750 leaves your account ($7.50 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if SPCX finishes at or below $150.

Breakeven at expiry: $157.50, a +11.5% move from today's $141.29.

Best case: SPCX at or above $200 makes the spread worth $5,000, a $4,250 profit (+567%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $200 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if SPCX sits between $150 and $200 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

The trade

BUY 1  SPCX  Sep 18, 2026  $115 call

SELL 1  SPCX  Sep 18, 2026  $150 call

How to enter it

One order, not two. Your broker calls this a vertical call debit spread (or just "vertical"/"debit spread"). Legging in as two separate trades leaves you exposed to the price moving between fills.

Limit price: $21.45 net debit or better — that is the difference between the two legs, not the price of either one.

What it costs and risks

$2,145 leaves your account ($21.45 × 100 shares). That is also the most you can lose — it happens if SPCX finishes at or below $115.

Breakeven at expiry: $136.45, a -3.4% move from today's $141.29.

Best case: SPCX at or above $150 makes the spread worth $3,500, a $1,355 profit (+63%). Gains stop there — that cap is exactly what selling the $150 call paid for.

When to exit

The screen's plan is a 21-session hold: exit around Sep 11, not at expiry. The "if-tgt" figure in the table is what the position is worth on that date if the move lands, with time value still in it. The breakeven and best-case numbers above are expiry values, so they are the pessimistic version of the same trade.

Before you place it

Needs spread-level options approval. Close both legs together; if SPCX sits between $115 and $150 near expiry the short leg can be assigned early.

This is a mechanical screen output, not advice, and the model does not forecast volatility — an IV drop can lose money on a correct call.

Calls and debit spreads costing $3,000 or less per contract (single calls: ask ≤ $30.00/share), ranked against each other · tgt best if the target hits, EV best on average, win likeliest to profit at all · Valued at the 21-session horizon · cost = ask, or the net debit on a spread · max loss = 100% of what you paid · IV changes not modeled · EV explodes on far-OTM strikes — read beside P(win) and if-flat · not investment advice.
lev = return if the target hits, as a multiple of the move itself — the whole reason to be in options rather than the shares. Structures returning under 3× are hidden: at that point the stock does the same job with no expiry and no total loss. $A/$B C = vertical debit spread (buy A, sell B) — cost is the net debit and max the capped upside; a single call is uncapped but must travel further. cost = 1 contract (100 shares) · ⚠ = thin chain (relaxed liquidity floor — expect wider fills) · * = fallback +10% target (no liquid ATM contract to imply a move from).
Monthly portfolios
the two baskets behind the 40/60 barbellallocator & rebalance diff →
12-month momentum · 25 namesFROZEN · rebal Mon Aug 3
12-month winners, skipping the last month. Frozen since Mon Aug 3 · next rebalance Tue Sep 1 (~13 trading evenings).
1SNDK+3,781%
2BE+1,124%
3WDC+747%
4MU+709%
5LITE+696%
+ 20 more · cutoff at #25 (ECHO): +258% formation return · bars log-scaled
Low-volatility · 165 namesFROZEN · rebal Mon Aug 3
The steadiest 20% of the 828-name universe by 126-day volatility.
EA · BRK-B · REG · MPLX · WBD · ATO · ET · DUK + 157 more
Member list only — per-name volatility not stored in this run.
Reference: 3y PIT: mom121 Sharpe 1.16 / lowvol 1.10 / 40-60 barbell 1.40 vs SPY 1.21 | 15y PIT: mom121 0.76, lowvol 0.90, barbell 0.93 vs SPY 0.87 — factor-tests-2026-07-28.md